NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	93		Excitement	7.7 [253]		MVP	Clifford Robinson (PHX): +12.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	1.4 [930]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -26.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	11	60%	0.13	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	4	80%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dennis Scott	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.08	0.00	18	53%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	6	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rex Chapman	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	15	39%	-0.08	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Kevin Johnson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	7	53%	0.01	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Jason Kidd	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.24,-0.27	-0.14	-0.13	0.01	18	30%	-0.20	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	10	86%	0.24	3	-0.15	1	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.01	13	50%	0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Mario Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.25,-0.16,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	28	49%	-0.00	3	-0.07	11	64%	-0.13
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	3	12%	-0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	10	34%	-0.09	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.03
Rick Fox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	9	43%	-0.00	4	-0.13	5	40%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	27.0	16.7	28.4	2.4	32.5	134.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +50.1%

PHX -0.0%

LAL +18.4%

PHX -16.2%

PHX -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	16.1	14.9	15.6	101.1	105.3	102.5
season	15.0	14.8		105.3	110.0
opponent	15.6	15.9		102.6	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.8	14.0	17.3	19.1	16.1
LAL	13.5	14.8	15.4	16.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	31	30	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-14	22	18.4	15.0	3.39	16.4	14.2	2.19
Steve Nash	1	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-6	6	8.0	16.2	-8.20	5.0	15.1	-10.09
Dennis Scott	5	5	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.04	-2	-4	2	16.6	16.1	0.52	12.6	15.0	-2.40
Hot Rod Williams	44	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-1	-4	14.5	17.6	-3.04	14.5	15.2	-0.75
Rex Chapman	61	62	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.25	5	-11	16	15.5	17.3	-1.78	14.8	15.0	-0.19
Clifford Robinson	61	61	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.23	0	-6	6	16.0	16.4	-0.37	15.0	14.6	0.41
Antonio McDyess	64	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-3	0	16.5	15.1	1.44	15.5	13.4	2.06
Danny Manning	33	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-1	-4	16.9	15.7	1.25	14.6	15.0	-0.42
Kevin Johnson	40	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	4	-14	16.4	15.8	0.60	14.3	15.3	-0.98
Jason Kidd	82	83	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	1	-8	16.5	13.0	3.49	15.4	10.6	4.80
George McCloud	38	41	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.17	-11	5	-16	14.8	17.0	-2.20	13.5	15.9	-2.41

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	59	58	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	-2	10	15.0	14.7	0.25	16.6	15.2	1.39
Rick Fox	73	72	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.43	0	6	-6	14.7	15.5	-0.78	16.0	16.5	-0.56
Nick Van Exel	52	49	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.36	1	5	-4	15.2	14.5	0.67	17.1	14.9	2.21
Kobe Bryant	54	52	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.17	7	-1	8	15.1	14.5	0.56	16.2	15.9	0.33
Eddie Jones	66	65	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.08	7	-1	8	14.7	15.3	-0.59	16.2	16.0	0.21
Shaquille O'Neal	81	80	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.27	-2	8	-10	14.8	15.5	-0.77	15.9	17.5	-1.60
Elden Campbell	39	36	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	0	6	15.1	14.7	0.39	15.4	16.5	-1.09
Derek Fisher	42	43	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	1	4	14.5	15.2	-0.67	14.9	17.1	-2.21
Mario Bennett	4	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.05	-2	8	-10	16.2	14.8	1.44	17.8	16.0	1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 81, LAC 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.8,0.74,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.91,1	93.5%
LAC 85, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.55,0.78,0.98,1	93.1%
SAC 86, PHX 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.81,0.72,0.8,0.73,1	93.0%