NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	85		Excitement	7.0 [454]		MVP	Sam Cassell (MIN): +25.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	89		Comeback	1.5 [883]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -29.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zeljko Rebraca	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.02	9	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	8	61%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Rick Brunson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.07	0.01	14	68%	0.12	4	-0.19	9	78%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	44%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Quinton Ross	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.12	-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	5	54%	-0.04	2	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Marko Jaric	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.23	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.26,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23	-0.18	-0.05	-0.00	18	32%	-0.18	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.05	0.19	-0.01	10	67%	0.26	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	-0.00	7	79%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	7	75%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	11	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	1	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.05
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	8	12%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24,-0.29,-0.36,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.23	-0.10	-0.03	24	36%	-0.14	5	-0.16	8	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.1	1.8	25.2	17.4	26.3	2.0	41.3	135.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +36.1%

LAC -19.8%

LAC -1.2%

MIN +27.7%

MIN +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MIN	NBA	LAC	MIN	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.5	89.5	93.7	104.0
season	16.0	15.8		103.0	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.5		104.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.4	15.1	15.5	15.0	15.5
MIN	15.7	16.2	14.5	13.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Maggette	76	75	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.28	12	-16	28	14.8	18.1	-3.28	15.1	13.8	1.24
Shaun Livingston	52	54	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.31	11	-15	26	15.1	16.0	-0.94	14.4	15.4	-0.94
Elton Brand	75	77	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.36	12	-16	28	14.9	17.6	-2.68	15.1	13.5	1.64
Rick Brunson	8	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-4	4	11.1	15.9	-4.76	18.9	14.5	4.35
Chris Kaman	60	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-3	2	16.2	14.2	2.08	14.2	15.9	-1.69
Mikki Moore	7	7	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	7	-18	15.4	15.5	-0.06	14.9	14.8	0.03
Zeljko Rebraca	40	40	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.14	-11	7	-18	15.7	15.3	0.33	14.3	15.2	-0.92
Marko Jaric	54	52	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.24	-10	6	-16	15.7	15.2	0.55	15.7	13.8	1.82
Bobby Simmons	71	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.40	-5	1	-6	15.6	15.1	0.54	14.6	15.8	-1.19
Quinton Ross	32	31	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.06	-17	13	-30	17.8	14.3	3.46	14.4	15.0	-0.66

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	44	45	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.33	14	-10	24	14.3	15.3	-0.91	15.7	15.3	0.43
Wally Szczerbiak	57	59	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.34	13	-9	22	15.4	13.9	1.47	15.5	15.4	0.06
Sam Cassell	47	49	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.29	10	-6	16	15.4	14.2	1.22	15.8	15.1	0.73
John Thomas	29	29	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.12	10	-6	16	14.0	15.2	-1.15	17.6	14.6	2.98
Kevin Garnett	81	82	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.44	-4	8	-12	14.9	14.6	0.22	15.3	16.5	-1.13
Trenton Hassell	58	58	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.38	-6	10	-16	14.7	15.0	-0.23	14.6	16.8	-2.22
Troy Hudson	48	46	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	10	-16	14.2	15.4	-1.22	15.1	15.8	-0.73
Eddie Griffin	40	38	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.15	2	2	0	15.9	14.1	1.80	15.3	15.6	-0.37
Michael Olowokandi	33	33	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	8	-12	15.0	14.7	0.26	15.5	15.5	0.05
Latrell Sprewell	38	36	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.05	-9	13	-22	13.9	15.4	-1.47	15.4	15.5	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.64,0.75,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.55,0.78,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 93, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.75,0.85,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.75,0.72,0.68,0.84,1	93.1%
BOS 73, DET 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.63,0.57,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.73,0.69,0.91,0.87,0.75,0.63,0.92,1,1	91.9%
DAL 80, SAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,1	91.7%