NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	73		Excitement	7.2 [414]		MVP	Ronald Murray (DET): +9.8%
Detroit Pistons	81		Comeback	1.5 [1163]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (BOS): -18.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	20	57%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Leon Powe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Ray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	-0.00	16	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Michael Olowokandi	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	4	25%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.08	-0.01	16	34%	-0.09	3	-0.09	3	67%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.11	-0.02	14	32%	-0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	0.01	18	55%	0.19	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.01	16	44%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.03	0.01	19	46%	0.04	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Ronald Dupree	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	13	36%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	4	17%	-0.09	2	-0.07	4	0%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	27.5	17.3	27.5	2.4	31.6	132.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +37.2%

BOS -6.6%

DET +7.0%

DET +9.9%

DET +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	17.4	15.5	15.4	83.0	93.1	104.5
season	15.5	16.8		101.7	106.1
opponent	15.7	15.3		101.7	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.3	18.1	17.8	18.5	17.4
DET	15.4	13.8	17.3	15.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	42	43	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.17	4	-12	16	16.0	18.6	-2.56	16.4	14.7	1.69
Rajon Rondo	36	34	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-8	8	18.0	17.0	0.99	13.0	17.1	-4.13
Allan Ray	17	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-7	6	17.6	17.3	0.32	12.2	16.3	-4.00
Leon Powe	27	27	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	2	-12	18.6	16.8	1.79	14.1	16.1	-1.99
Michael Olowokandi	30	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	1	-10	19.9	16.1	3.86	14.9	15.8	-0.88
Al Jefferson	73	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-3	-2	17.0	19.4	-2.43	16.1	12.4	3.77
Gerald Green	74	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.23	-5	-3	-2	17.2	18.2	-0.98	16.1	12.7	3.34
Sebastian Telfair	54	54	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-2	-4	16.8	18.4	-1.58	16.9	13.3	3.52
Ryan Gomes	87	86	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	0	-8	17.3	22.0	-4.67	15.5	16.0	-0.49

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	75	75	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.34	12	-4	16	15.6	14.8	0.79	17.2	18.5	-1.26
Rasheed Wallace	62	62	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	0	8	16.0	14.2	1.79	16.7	19.0	-2.24
Ronald Murray	79	79	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	2	4	15.9	11.5	4.42	17.1	20.2	-3.16
Richard Hamilton	77	78	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.22	5	3	2	15.4	16.6	-1.22	17.6	15.7	1.90
Antonio McDyess	37	38	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	2	4	15.3	15.7	-0.34	19.4	15.8	3.63
Dale Davis	36	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	4	0	15.7	15.4	0.30	15.9	18.3	-2.40
Ronald Dupree	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	2.0	15.7	-13.67	11.5	17.5	-6.02
Carlos Delfino	30	32	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	7	-6	14.5	16.0	-1.50	18.1	17.0	1.11
Jason Maxiell	23	25	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.09	3	5	-2	15.0	15.7	-0.76	18.2	17.1	1.08
Nazr Mohammed	15	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	11	-14	15.2	15.6	-0.38	17.7	17.3	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.63,0.57,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.73,0.69,0.91,0.87,0.75,0.63,0.92,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 93, NJN 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.3%
NYK 80, NJN 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.38,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.73,0.62,0.77,0.96,1,1	92.1%
NJN 95, UTA 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.93,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.95,1	92.0%