NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	95		Excitement	6.9 [403]		MVP	Adam Keefe (UTA): +11.8%
Utah Jazz	100		Comeback	2.2 [831]		LVP	Karl Malone (UTA): -24.0%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Benoit	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.01	7	79%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.00	6	76%	0.04	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Kevin Edwards	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	4	100%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Xavier McDaniel	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jack Haley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Cage	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	16	59%	0.12	7	-0.25	12	100%	0.08
Sherman Douglas	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	9	37%	-0.12	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Chris Gatling	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.09	-0.13	-0.00	8	52%	-0.04	4	-0.18	7	57%	-0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adam Keefe	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.00	7	82%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.01	9	67%	0.14	1	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	5	80%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.03	-0.01	8	46%	0.04	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.04
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	7	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.00	5	64%	0.04	5	-0.18	4	75%	-0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.18	-0.10	-0.04	19	40%	-0.11	4	-0.13	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	58.9	2.3	28.5	14.8	30.1	1.7	41.2	177.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +9.6%

UTA +4.8%

UTA +10.5%

UTA +21.9%

UTA +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	UTA	NBA	NJN	UTA	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	15.6	97.9	105.3	102.5
season	15.6	15.9		104.9	108.1
opponent	15.9	15.2		102.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.6	13.6	13.8	15.2	14.5
UTA	18.0	14.6	15.0	14.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Benoit	49	44	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.01	6	-11	17	14.4	14.6	-0.28	15.6	15.5	0.12
Xavier McDaniel	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	0.0	14.7	-14.66	3.0	15.6	-12.64
Sam Cassell	63	65	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-8	11	15.1	13.4	1.64	16.4	13.5	2.88
Kevin Edwards	20	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.15	3	-8	11	13.0	14.9	-1.90	13.7	15.9	-2.21
Jack Haley	3	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-1	-3	13.0	14.6	-1.55	9.7	15.8	-6.01
Michael Cage	60	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	0	-5	16.2	11.7	4.49	15.9	14.9	1.07
Jayson Williams	77	77	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-7	9	14.6	14.3	0.26	15.9	13.6	2.34
Chris Gatling	53	52	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-2	-1	12.8	16.5	-3.65	15.1	16.0	-0.99
Sherman Douglas	31	29	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.20	-9	4	-13	14.4	14.5	-0.13	14.0	16.2	-2.12
Kerry Kittles	73	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.28	-9	4	-13	14.8	13.7	1.11	15.5	15.5	0.06
Kendall Gill	55	57	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.32	-9	4	-13	14.2	14.9	-0.70	15.7	15.2	0.58

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	44	45	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.06	20	-15	35	16.5	14.7	1.77	16.0	13.2	2.75
Karl Malone	77	78	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	-1	7	16.0	13.6	2.41	15.3	11.2	4.10
Bryon Russell	49	50	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.30	9	-4	13	14.7	16.4	-1.68	14.4	14.6	-0.22
Shandon Anderson	49	50	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.30	9	-4	13	14.7	16.4	-1.68	14.4	14.6	-0.22
Antoine Carr	39	41	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.09	7	-2	9	13.8	16.7	-2.81	14.0	14.8	-0.79
Jeff Hornacek	53	54	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.27	-2	7	-9	15.9	15.0	0.99	13.9	15.3	-1.39
Greg Ostertag	18	18	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	2	1	15.0	15.6	-0.62	12.4	15.0	-2.53
Adam Keefe	55	56	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.20	-4	9	-13	16.1	14.6	1.52	14.4	14.6	-0.18
Greg Foster	47	48	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	11	-17	16.4	14.6	1.82	14.6	14.4	0.11
Jacque Vaughn	44	45	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	0.07	-17	22	-39	14.9	16.0	-1.07	13.9	15.0	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.93,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 109, ATL 120	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.96,1,1,1	93.5%
ORL 90, MIL 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.94,1,1	92.7%
NYK 98, LAC 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.75,0.62,0.57,0.7,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.84,0.94,1,1	92.5%