inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 91 Excitement7.0 [403] MVPP.J. Brown (NOH): +16.8%
New Orleans Hornets 97 Comeback1.6 [890] LVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): -18.8%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Miller0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.080.010.02-0.051268%0.194-0.111100%0.02
Voshon Lenard0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.030.010.01-0.011350%0.0300.004100%0.03
Francisco Elson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.00580%0.092-0.0600%0.00
Earl Boykins-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.010.00658%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Rodney White-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00233%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Chris Andersen-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.09-0.03-0.0030%-0.052-0.0600%0.00
Nene-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.13-0.02-0.110.01837%-0.1300.0000%0.00
Marcus Camby-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16-0.01-0.150.011150%-0.151-0.012100%0.01
Carmelo Anthony-0.190,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.26,-0.26,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19-0.13-0.06-0.002244%-0.054-0.141080%0.02

New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
P.J. Brown0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.17,0.170.170.030.13-0.011255%0.1700.00580%0.01
Stacey Augmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.020.02-0.040.05-0.01556%0.072-0.04683%0.07
Jamaal Magloire0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.04-0.010.011371%0.144-0.132100%0.01
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.000.00759%0.0100.00862%-0.03
Sean Rooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00560%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Darrell Armstrong0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.03-0.030.07-0.100.011275%0.153-0.1900%0.00
Bryce Drew0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.01-0.0000%0.003-0.0800%0.00
George Lynch0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.01-0.01629%-0.052-0.052100%0.02
Steven Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.05-0.06-0.001046%-0.072-0.044100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.92.528.215.826.42.437.3136.4
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NOH +51.3%
NOH +14.3%
DEN -0.9%
DEN -16.4%
NOH +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENNOHNBADENNOHNBA
this game15.115.215.794.8103.2100.5
season14.916.0101.699.3
opponent15.715.499.4101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN13.615.517.514.515.1
NOH12.614.516.817.615.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Earl Boykins3735-0.05-0.450.41-0.050-6615.015.2-0.1916.914.22.73
Chris Andersen2323-0.11-0.390.28-0.110-6614.315.4-1.0717.114.62.50
Nene6463-0.12-0.380.26-0.244-101415.115.2-0.0614.716.2-1.48
Francisco Elson2324-0.19-0.310.12-0.07-4-2-214.415.3-0.9517.214.52.75
Voshon Lenard7675-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.280-6615.214.90.2114.916.6-1.73
Rodney White3332-0.35-0.15-0.200.00-126-1814.815.3-0.4514.815.4-0.59
Marcus Camby7371-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.21-60-615.414.31.0714.617.1-2.50
Andre Miller7068-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.32-4-2-215.214.80.4714.816.2-1.37
Carmelo Anthony8179-0.570.07-0.63-0.33-82-1015.413.81.5615.016.1-1.11

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steven Smith78800.56-0.060.620.2112-61815.314.80.4714.816.7-1.89
Darrell Armstrong79820.400.100.310.2651414.916.8-1.9015.512.62.98
Jamaal Magloire70710.400.100.300.3133015.015.9-0.9615.513.91.67
P.J. Brown55560.320.180.130.3206-614.815.8-1.0616.213.62.55
George Lynch63620.310.190.110.1651414.616.5-1.9115.414.60.77
Stacey Augmon45480.200.30-0.100.23-17-815.614.80.8515.015.2-0.27
Robert Traylor39390.170.33-0.15-0.0060615.814.81.0613.915.9-2.01
Sean Rooks23240.090.41-0.330.0615-416.614.71.8614.415.3-0.93
Bryce Drew18180.060.44-0.390.09-17-816.414.91.5412.415.7-3.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.87,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.72,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 107, NYK 1090.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.71,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.77,0.82,193.3%
SAC 86, PHX 880.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.81,0.72,0.8,0.73,193.1%
DET 84, MIA 870.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.69,0.84,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.67,0.74,193.0%