NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	107		Excitement	9.1 [110]		MVP	Chris Childs (NYK): +36.1%
New York Knicks	109		Comeback	1.6 [689]		LVP	David Wesley (BOS): -63.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Fox	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	-0.02	0.02	10	82%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	19	61%	0.16	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.13
Dee Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	8	61%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Todd Day	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	15	49%	0.09	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.05
Marty Conlon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	14	61%	0.02	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.05
David Wesley	-0.63	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.35,-0.63	-0.21	-0.42	-0.00	14	32%	-0.44	6	-0.19	3	67%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.36	0.36	-0.05	0.40	-0.02	5	42%	0.42	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	12	63%	0.17	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	15	62%	0.12	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	10	61%	0.12	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0,0	-0.00	0.11	-0.10	0.01	15	78%	0.22	4	-0.23	2	50%	-0.02
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.07
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.13,-0.32	-0.32	-0.03	-0.29	0.01	13	60%	-0.19	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	1.7	26.2	16.5	23.3	2.5	39.4	133.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +123.3%

BOS -43.2%

BOS -14.3%

BOS -15.7%

BOS -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.2	14.5	15.6	110.3	112.4	104.4
season	14.8	15.1		101.8	102.0
opponent	16.1	14.7		98.8	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.8	14.4	16.0	14.7	15.2
NYK	14.8	14.4	17.5	12.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marty Conlon	32	32	0.47	-0.97	1.43	0.11	12	-14	26	14.1	15.7	-1.65	14.8	14.4	0.47
Dee Brown	41	40	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-2	2	14.5	15.7	-1.22	14.9	14.2	0.68
David Wesley	93	94	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.43	1	-3	4	15.0	18.2	-3.22	14.3	20.7	-6.34
Todd Day	76	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.46	2	-4	6	15.5	13.8	1.73	14.5	14.7	-0.22
Antoine Walker	85	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.58	4	-6	10	15.3	14.4	0.85	14.6	14.2	0.34
Rick Fox	77	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.45	-5	3	-8	15.3	14.5	0.77	14.7	13.8	0.91
Eric Williams	81	82	-1.10	0.60	-1.70	-0.39	-24	22	-46	15.5	13.5	1.99	14.2	16.1	-1.82

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Starks	38	41	1.17	-0.67	1.83	0.58	20	-18	38	12.7	15.7	-2.94	14.7	15.5	-0.83
Patrick Ewing	71	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.35	0	2	-2	14.7	14.1	0.56	15.1	15.3	-0.23
Larry Johnson	76	75	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	-11	24	14.3	15.3	-0.97	15.7	13.2	2.56
Charlie Ward	43	45	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	-2	6	13.7	15.2	-1.45	15.3	15.1	0.23
Charles Oakley	81	81	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.43	-8	10	-18	15.0	12.4	2.58	14.7	17.3	-2.57
Chris Childs	70	68	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.34	-7	9	-16	15.0	13.3	1.65	15.0	15.5	-0.50
Allan Houston	76	75	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.36	-10	12	-22	14.9	13.1	1.77	15.6	13.6	1.98
John Wallace	30	30	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	4	-6	14.9	14.3	0.59	14.7	15.4	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.71,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.77,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 97, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.89,0.95,0.84,1	94.4%
DAL 89, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.93,0.87,0.95,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,1,1,1	93.5%
SAC 86, PHX 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.81,0.72,0.8,0.73,1	93.4%