NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	97		Excitement	5.8 [626]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +11.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	104		Comeback	1.1 [1064]		LVP	Derrick McKey (IND): -16.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.19	0.01	0.09	12	83%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Chris Mullin	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	12	61%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Travis Best	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	7	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Mark Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	9	35%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Rik Smits	-0.13	0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.02	21	42%	-0.04	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Derrick McKey	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	9	15%	-0.14	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.02	15	60%	0.11	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.03
Vin Baker	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.00	0.04	22	73%	0.21	5	-0.13	12	75%	0.03
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	78%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	5	45%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	15	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.05
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	31%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	5	17%	-0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	44.3	2.4	24.4	18.4	23.0	0.8	33.0	146.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +21.2%

SEA +14.4%

SEA +10.2%

SEA +5.0%

IND -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SEA	NBA	IND	SEA	NBA
this game	17.3	15.6	15.6	110.2	119.5	102.5
season	16.0	15.3		105.3	109.3
opponent	16.2	16.1		102.3	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.0	15.8	18.7	18.0	17.3
SEA	16.5	17.0	14.0	14.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.24	8	-15	23	10.4	18.0	-7.66	15.5	15.6	-0.07
Antonio Davis	44	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.33	6	-13	19	16.9	17.7	-0.82	16.7	14.5	2.20
Chris Mullin	49	49	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	2	-11	17.7	16.9	0.84	14.5	16.9	-2.46
Dale Davis	38	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	0	-7	17.3	17.4	-0.14	14.4	16.5	-2.07
Fred Hoiberg	15	13	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-1	-5	18.0	17.2	0.79	13.5	15.9	-2.38
Mark Jackson	69	68	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-5	3	17.2	17.9	-0.77	14.9	18.0	-3.12
Travis Best	19	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-2	-3	17.9	17.2	0.77	18.0	14.9	3.12
Reggie Miller	73	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-6	5	17.2	18.0	-0.79	15.9	13.5	2.38
Rik Smits	57	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-3	-1	16.8	18.4	-1.66	14.5	17.8	-3.29
Jalen Rose	31	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-1	-5	18.5	16.7	1.86	17.3	14.6	2.70
Derrick McKey	37	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	2	-11	18.8	16.3	2.54	17.3	14.4	2.88

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	80	80	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.30	7	0	7	15.6	15.6	-0.01	17.3	18.0	-0.72
Dale Ellis	41	41	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-4	15	16.9	14.4	2.44	18.0	16.8	1.19
Vin Baker	73	75	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.27	5	2	3	15.1	18.2	-3.16	17.3	17.4	-0.05
Sam Perkins	43	44	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	3	1	15.8	15.3	0.50	17.2	17.4	-0.18
Detlef Schrempf	69	67	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	5	-3	15.3	16.4	-1.11	17.4	17.1	0.32
David Wingate	21	23	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	3	1	17.2	15.0	2.21	18.0	17.1	0.89
Jim McIlvaine	44	44	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	4	-1	15.3	15.8	-0.50	17.4	17.2	0.18
Hersey Hawkins	57	58	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	8	-9	14.9	16.7	-1.79	16.6	18.9	-2.31
Greg Anthony	7	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	7	-7	15.6	15.6	0.01	18.0	17.3	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 93, GSW 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.6%
CHI 91, BOS 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.94,0.84,1	94.4%
ATL 82, IND 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%