NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	82		Excitement	5.7 [649]		MVP	Travis Best (IND): +16.0%
Indiana Pacers	92		Comeback	1.2 [914]		LVP	Mark Jackson (IND): -25.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	6	89%	0.14	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Jon Barry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Priest Lauderdale	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrin Hancock	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	71%	0.10	4	-0.11	10	100%	0.05
Alan Henderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	8	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tyrone Corbin	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	3	83%	0.05	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	0.11	17	55%	-0.08	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Mookie Blaylock	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.05	-0.04	14	29%	-0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.01	10	55%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.02	-0.02	16	64%	0.11	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.02	0.05	5	86%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.01	9	64%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	6	25%	-0.09	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.18	-0.10	-0.02	12	37%	-0.07	6	-0.19	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	27.5	15.8	23.3	2.4	32.2	127.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +19.7%

ATL -7.0%

IND +20.3%

IND +9.9%

IND +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	18.1	16.6	15.6	98.8	110.8	104.4
season	16.4	15.3		105.3	103.6
opponent	16.3	16.0		101.9	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.0	21.6	20.8	15.1	18.1
IND	16.7	17.4	17.1	15.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Priest Lauderdale	6	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	9.7	18.7	-9.07	16.6	16.6	-0.02
Ivano Newbill	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-13	16	10.6	18.8	-8.20	16.8	16.6	0.24
Tyrone Corbin	43	43	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-9	8	17.5	18.7	-1.28	17.0	16.1	0.90
Darrin Hancock	9	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.11	-7	-3	-4	13.8	18.6	-4.83	16.5	16.6	-0.13
Alan Henderson	34	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-6	2	21.9	15.4	6.43	16.7	16.5	0.20
Eldridge Recasner	29	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	1	-12	20.6	16.8	3.79	15.9	17.0	-1.08
Dikembe Mutombo	57	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-3	-4	17.5	19.3	-1.78	16.6	16.6	-0.04
Jon Barry	29	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-8	6	19.3	17.4	1.88	16.8	16.5	0.33
Steven Smith	70	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-6	2	18.2	17.5	0.74	16.5	17.2	-0.74
Mookie Blaylock	69	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-5	0	17.4	21.6	-4.28	16.7	16.3	0.37
Christian Laettner	62	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.11	-14	4	-18	18.2	17.8	0.37	16.5	16.8	-0.31

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Jackson	68	67	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.06	12	-2	14	16.5	17.3	-0.88	18.1	18.0	0.10
Reggie Miller	65	64	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.24	5	5	0	16.6	16.7	-0.14	16.9	22.0	-5.08
Rik Smits	48	48	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	-1	12	16.5	16.7	-0.22	16.5	20.3	-3.76
Jalen Rose	42	41	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	-2	14	16.5	16.7	-0.14	19.5	16.7	2.73
Travis Best	38	40	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.28	1	9	-8	16.5	16.7	-0.21	18.9	17.3	1.62
Dale Davis	42	45	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	4	2	16.9	16.3	0.59	17.0	19.3	-2.27
Antonio Davis	45	43	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	13	-16	16.4	16.9	-0.52	18.5	17.6	0.84
Erick Dampier	29	28	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.08	2	8	-6	16.7	16.6	0.17	22.7	15.7	6.93
Duane Ferrell	38	39	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.04	4	6	-2	17.1	16.2	0.95	17.1	19.0	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.82,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 84, POR 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.78,0.72,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	94.3%
IND 97, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1,0.98,1	94.3%
POR 91, NOK 103	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.65,0.74,0.74,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.95,1,1	94.1%