NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	5.0 [788]		MVP	James Robinson (LAC): +20.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	111		Comeback	1.1 [167]		LVP	Lamond Murray (LAC): -7.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	13	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.03
Jeff Hornacek	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.01	0.02	14	65%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Adam Keefe	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
John Stockton	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	16	52%	0.03	1	-0.01	10	90%	0.02
Howard Eisley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Antoine Carr	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	5	57%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Shandon Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.05	0.00	16	69%	0.20	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	-0.01	0.02	10	88%	0.17	2	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	11	71%	0.14	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.02	9	75%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	2	83%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	12	46%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Stojko Vrankovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.03	-0.05	15	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Lamond Murray	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	6	29%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	26.0	14.8	29.7	2.0	29.2	128.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +41.8%

UTA -7.3%

LAC +23.7%

UTA -13.7%

LAC +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	15.2	17.7	15.6	117.2	126.1	102.5
season	15.9	15.5		108.1	101.0
opponent	15.1	15.9		109.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.1	19.9	11.6	14.4	15.2
LAC	14.6	19.0	18.4	19.2	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adam Keefe	47	48	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.10	7	-16	23	13.8	16.9	-3.09	16.5	19.1	-2.62
Jeff Hornacek	66	67	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.28	12	-21	33	14.0	19.1	-5.19	17.1	19.6	-2.53
Howard Eisley	34	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-11	13	14.7	15.5	-0.77	17.7	17.7	0.04
Karl Malone	74	76	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-10	11	14.4	19.8	-5.36	17.2	21.0	-3.83
Antoine Carr	24	22	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-5	1	15.3	15.2	0.12	19.9	17.0	2.89
Greg Foster	10	11	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	1	-11	16.9	15.0	1.91	20.5	17.3	3.26
Greg Ostertag	66	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-4	-1	15.8	13.3	2.53	17.1	19.6	-2.47
John Stockton	53	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	2	-13	15.5	14.7	0.77	17.7	17.7	-0.04
Shandon Anderson	21	21	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.04	-21	12	-33	19.1	14.0	5.19	19.6	17.1	2.53
Bryon Russell	40	40	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.14	-16	7	-23	16.9	13.8	3.09	19.1	16.5	2.62

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	52	52	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.11	20	-11	31	18.9	16.0	2.91	15.6	14.6	1.06
James Robinson	47	47	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.14	16	-7	23	19.1	16.1	2.99	15.6	14.8	0.80
Darrick Martin	71	70	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-4	17	17.8	17.4	0.35	15.9	12.4	3.47
Rodney Rogers	84	83	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-2	13	17.8	15.2	2.56	15.1	18.0	-2.93
Lorenzen Wright	82	82	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.18	10	-1	11	17.9	15.3	2.53	15.0	18.2	-3.18
Stojko Vrankovic	6	5	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	10	-11	15.3	17.9	-2.53	18.2	15.0	3.18
Pooh Richardson	17	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	13	-17	17.4	17.8	-0.35	12.4	15.9	-3.47
Eric Piatkowski	45	43	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.10	-7	16	-23	16.0	19.4	-3.42	14.9	15.5	-0.59
Lamond Murray	36	36	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.18	-13	22	-35	16.0	18.9	-2.91	14.8	15.5	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.86,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.91,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 74, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.5%
DET 89, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
MIL 100, CLE 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%