NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	118		Excitement	7.8 [244]		MVP	Terry Porter (MIN): +24.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Comeback	9.5 [62]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (MIN): -49.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.19	0.07	0.12	0.00	14	67%	0.29	2	-0.10	5	100%	0.04
Glenn Robinson	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.1,0.14	-0.01	0.14	-0.01	23	53%	0.19	2	-0.04	9	100%	0.07
Tyrone Hill	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.10	-0.00	7	67%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Armen Gilliam	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.00	6	64%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	14	55%	0.10	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Ricky Pierce	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	5	69%	0.08	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Michael Curry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	2	80%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Andrew Lang	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	7	27%	-0.04	3	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.09	-0.01	10	96%	0.30	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.09	0.02	17	68%	0.24	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.05
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	0.00	3	82%	0.13	0	0.00	5	100%	0.06
Doug West	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	5	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeJuan Wheat	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cherokee Parks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	12	44%	-0.08	1	-0.04	15	73%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.26,-0.44,-0.49	-0.49	-0.24	-0.32	-0.07	16	32%	-0.44	3	-0.05	12	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	32.0	15.8	28.2	2.4	41.5	146.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +70.9%

MIN -14.9%

MIL +2.2%

MIN -5.5%

MIN -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MIN	NBA	MIL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	15.6	124.2	117.0	102.5
season	16.0	14.8		101.1	105.3
opponent	15.7	15.1		104.9	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.7	17.0	16.0	14.9	15.6
MIN	13.6	15.1	15.3	15.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	80	79	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.31	13	-5	18	15.2	17.3	-2.03	14.1	19.1	-4.94
Tyrone Hill	61	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.17	14	-6	20	17.2	12.6	4.62	15.5	13.8	1.65
Terrell Brandon	73	73	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	1	6	15.2	16.7	-1.46	15.3	13.6	1.73
Ray Allen	69	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	4	0	16.1	14.2	1.83	14.6	15.8	-1.21
Ervin Johnson	67	64	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.14	13	-5	18	15.9	14.8	1.04	14.8	15.1	-0.32
Ricky Pierce	17	17	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	2	4	16.6	15.3	1.25	17.9	14.2	3.69
Armen Gilliam	46	45	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.35	-9	17	-26	14.2	16.9	-2.68	14.7	15.1	-0.43
Michael Curry	32	31	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	6	-4	13.8	16.4	-2.58	14.8	15.0	-0.11
Elliot Perry	25	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	12	-16	15.0	15.8	-0.76	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Andrew Lang	5	5	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	14	-20	17.4	15.5	1.94	15.6	14.9	0.72

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jordan	24	27	0.31	-0.81	1.13	0.11	7	-15	22	17.7	14.0	3.70	16.7	15.1	1.55
DeJuan Wheat	2	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-6	4	6.5	15.1	-8.60	2.0	16.0	-14.00
Cherokee Parks	41	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.15	1	-9	10	16.8	13.4	3.40	15.5	15.6	-0.06
Terry Porter	61	61	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.37	8	-16	24	15.0	14.8	0.20	14.7	17.1	-2.43
Stanley Roberts	25	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-2	-4	13.7	15.4	-1.68	16.9	15.1	1.85
Doug West	53	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	-2	-4	14.8	15.0	-0.19	15.1	16.1	-1.05
Tom Hammonds	44	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.32	3	-11	14	15.8	14.1	1.74	16.8	14.5	2.34
Sam Mitchell	76	77	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	4	-16	14.0	18.9	-4.92	14.9	18.2	-3.22
Kevin Garnett	71	72	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.26	-14	6	-20	15.0	14.6	0.46	16.4	13.0	3.32
Stephon Marbury	73	72	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.28	-19	11	-30	13.9	18.4	-4.52	15.4	16.0	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.47,0.29,0.23,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 111, DEN 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.89,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.76,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.16,0.15,0.02,0	92.1%
MIL 100, CHH 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.08,0	91.9%
NJN 101, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.01,0	91.8%