NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	100		Excitement	8.1 [216]		MVP	Matt Geiger (CHH): +9.9%
Charlotte Hornets	98		Comeback	5.7 [122]		LVP	Glen Rice (CHH): -22.6%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sherman Douglas	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	12	53%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.04
Elliot Perry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	87%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	82%	0.11	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Vin Baker	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.13,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,0.05,0.05	-0.09	0.13	-0.01	22	49%	0.15	3	-0.10	13	62%	-0.06
Joe Wolf	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	4	87%	0.06	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Lang	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	13	54%	0.00	4	-0.17	11	82%	0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.10	-0.01	6	56%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
George Zidek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.06,0.16,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	13	70%	0.15	3	-0.13	7	57%	-0.03
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.01	8	68%	-0.04	0	0.00	15	60%	-0.14
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tony Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	1	50%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.12	0.00	10	46%	-0.08	2	-0.11	6	83%	0.03
Glen Rice	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23	-0.23	-0.03	-0.19	0.01	17	46%	-0.21	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	28.5	15.5	26.2	2.0	40.8	139.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +40.5%

CHH -0.0%

CHH -2.5%

CHH -5.8%

MIL +17.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	CHH	NBA	MIL	CHH	NBA
this game	14.8	16.7	15.6	108.7	107.7	104.4
season	16.0	15.7		103.9	108.0
opponent	16.0	15.5		106.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.9	13.9	11.0	18.5	14.8
CHH	15.8	15.5	17.4	18.4	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sherman Douglas	68	66	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.44	8	-6	14	15.1	13.9	1.23	17.2	15.5	1.69
Vin Baker	89	87	0.63	-0.14	0.77	0.34	10	-8	18	14.6	20.0	-5.39	17.0	11.0	5.97
Johnny Newman	60	60	0.48	0.01	0.46	0.45	1	1	0	15.1	14.2	0.82	17.1	15.9	1.16
Glenn Robinson	64	64	0.39	0.10	0.28	0.45	-2	4	-6	15.4	13.4	2.00	16.0	18.4	-2.42
Andrew Lang	53	54	0.23	0.26	-0.03	0.08	5	-3	8	14.7	14.9	-0.20	16.9	16.4	0.50
Armen Gilliam	40	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.40	-6	8	-14	15.1	14.5	0.56	16.1	17.1	-1.01
Ray Allen	58	56	0.12	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	-3	8	13.9	16.3	-2.40	16.8	16.5	0.31
Joe Wolf	4	4	-0.11	0.60	-0.70	0.04	-5	7	-12	15.5	14.7	0.75	17.7	16.7	1.09
Elliot Perry	24	25	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.01	-6	8	-14	13.9	15.1	-1.23	15.5	17.2	-1.69

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Burrell	14	13	0.08	-0.57	0.65	-0.07	5	-7	12	16.9	16.7	0.18	16.1	14.6	1.51
George Zidek	38	36	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-6	10	15.5	17.6	-2.11	13.9	15.3	-1.42
Tony Smith	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.09	3	-5	8	18.0	16.3	1.62	13.6	15.1	-1.51
Vlade Divac	50	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	4	-10	18.0	15.1	2.92	15.1	14.4	0.68
Glen Rice	75	77	-0.43	-0.06	-0.37	-0.25	-6	4	-10	16.6	17.2	-0.66	14.5	16.1	-1.53
Matt Geiger	35	38	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	1	-4	16.8	16.6	0.16	14.9	14.7	0.28
Anthony Mason	85	85	-0.44	-0.05	-0.39	-0.41	-1	-1	0	16.4	20.3	-3.89	15.0	12.4	2.55
Dell Curry	67	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-1	0	16.8	16.5	0.33	14.7	15.0	-0.24
Anthony Goldwire	70	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	3	-8	16.3	18.0	-1.62	15.1	13.6	1.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 79, BOS 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.09,0.04,0	92.1%
POR 92, SEA 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.55,0.28,0.15,0.08,0	91.9%
MIL 118, MIN 110	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.84,0.86,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.34,0.47,0.29,0.23,0.04,0	91.9%