NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	92		Excitement	7.7 [294]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +23.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	86		Comeback	5.6 [193]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -23.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23	0.02	0.21	0.00	13	62%	0.32	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.11	0.02	10	91%	0.28	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.06,0.06,0.08	-0.05	0.10	-0.02	10	45%	0.14	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Scottie Pippen	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	10	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Bonzi Wells	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	13	59%	0.06	4	-0.14	6	67%	-0.02
Shawn Kemp	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	15	31%	-0.15	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.07	0.02	21	64%	0.24	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	10	46%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.06
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	29%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.01	-0.09	-0.00	12	54%	0.02	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	13	47%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Vin Baker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	10	40%	-0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	0.00	4	20%	-0.08	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	33.6	1.7	30.2	13.8	26.0	1.8	31.0	138.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +59.3%

SEA -10.1%

SEA -0.4%

POR +2.3%

SEA -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SEA	NBA	POR	SEA	NBA
this game	15.6	15.7	15.6	100.0	93.5	102.3
season	16.0	16.0		105.0	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.6		103.9	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.1	16.3	17.6	16.0	15.6
SEA	14.1	15.7	17.5	16.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Stoudamire	81	80	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.27	15	-9	24	15.5	15.8	-0.27	15.7	15.7	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	70	69	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.21	15	-9	24	15.1	17.2	-2.11	15.7	15.8	-0.13
Dale Davis	80	80	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.32	11	-5	16	16.3	10.9	5.36	15.9	14.7	1.13
Derek Anderson	55	56	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.47	1	5	-4	15.9	15.1	0.74	16.3	14.8	1.56
Rasheed Wallace	82	82	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	0	6	15.6	15.4	0.20	15.6	16.9	-1.31
Scottie Pippen	41	42	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	7	-8	15.0	16.1	-1.13	15.2	16.1	-0.90
Shawn Kemp	19	20	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	11	-16	14.5	15.8	-1.32	16.4	15.5	0.92
Ruben Patterson	32	31	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.07	-12	18	-30	15.9	15.4	0.46	14.9	16.1	-1.24

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shammond Williams	18	18	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.01	11	-17	28	15.2	15.9	-0.70	13.6	16.1	-2.51
Predrag Drobnjak	33	33	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.18	13	-19	32	15.3	16.0	-0.71	17.5	14.5	2.98
Jerome James	11	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-5	4	16.8	15.6	1.24	17.2	15.4	1.82
Vin Baker	48	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.10	-9	3	-12	15.7	15.7	-0.04	14.2	17.0	-2.85
Desmond Mason	59	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.36	5	-11	16	16.0	15.3	0.71	17.3	12.4	4.91
Art Long	31	31	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	3	-12	16.2	15.5	0.65	13.5	16.6	-3.06
Vladimir Radmanovic	17	18	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.28	0	-6	6	14.3	16.1	-1.76	15.6	15.6	0.04
Gary Payton	85	86	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.29	-12	6	-18	15.7	15.7	0.02	15.7	14.3	1.33
Brent Barry	83	83	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.36	-11	5	-16	15.7	16.2	-0.55	15.5	16.6	-1.09
Rashard Lewis	75	75	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.23	-17	11	-28	15.9	14.9	1.04	15.3	16.7	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.79,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.67,0.64,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.55,0.28,0.15,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 100, CHH 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.23,0.08,0	91.9%
TOR 109, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.46,0.25,0.09,0	90.5%
GSW 91, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.62,0.46,0.33,0.24,0.27,0.41,0.2,0.34,0.32,0.21,0.33,0.15,0	90.3%