NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Excitement	5.7 [631]		MVP	Lee Mayberry (VAN): +4.6%
Vancouver Grizzlies	106		Comeback	1.2 [834]		LVP	Blue Edwards (VAN): -14.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	15	57%	0.03	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	22	58%	0.15	5	-0.13	9	56%	-0.05
Doug West	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Carr	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terry Porter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	73%	0.05	2	-0.05	5	80%	-0.01
Reggie Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Cherokee Parks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	-0.06	18	45%	0.01	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Tom Hammonds	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	78%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.04	13	67%	0.08	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.01	-0.07	24	48%	0.10	3	-0.09	8	75%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Sam Mack	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.03	12	59%	0.00	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	57%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	13	31%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.8	24.1	14.7	28.3	2.5	34.6	132.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +19.3%

MIN +0.1%

MIN +21.3%

VAN -0.9%

MIN +10.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	VAN	NBA	MIN	VAN	NBA
this game	14.3	13.5	15.6	107.7	102.9	102.5
season	14.8	15.1		105.3	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.7		109.1	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.0	14.3	14.9	14.0	14.3
VAN	13.7	16.3	11.7	12.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Mitchell	78	77	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.23	11	-5	16	13.8	15.8	-2.04	13.6	13.3	0.37
Kevin Garnett	91	91	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.26	9	-3	12	14.0	16.4	-2.41	13.6	13.2	0.43
Stephon Marbury	88	86	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.25	9	-3	12	14.2	14.9	-0.78	13.4	14.2	-0.76
Doug West	66	67	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	8	-10	14.5	13.9	0.52	13.7	13.3	0.32
Cherokee Parks	50	48	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	7	-8	14.7	13.9	0.77	13.0	14.0	-1.06
Chris Carr	18	17	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	-3	12	13.2	14.5	-1.34	15.1	13.2	1.81
Tom Hammonds	48	46	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.19	-1	7	-8	15.3	13.4	1.92	14.1	13.1	0.98
Terry Porter	34	35	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	6	-6	13.8	14.5	-0.76	12.3	14.2	-1.86
Stanley Roberts	42	43	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	6	-6	15.1	13.7	1.37	14.0	13.2	0.86
Reggie Jordan	5	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	10	-14	14.0	14.3	-0.29	11.4	13.7	-2.25

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pete Chilcutt	33	33	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-10	14	14.0	13.3	0.72	15.8	13.6	2.21
George Lynch	24	24	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-7	8	14.1	13.4	0.76	12.7	14.7	-2.04
Sam Mack	63	62	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.14	3	-9	12	12.0	15.9	-3.85	13.6	15.3	-1.73
Tony Massenburg	16	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.03	-4	-2	-2	15.1	13.3	1.80	15.9	14.0	1.93
Lee Mayberry	43	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.11	-3	-3	0	14.7	12.7	1.98	14.4	14.2	0.19
Antonio Daniels	60	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-3	0	12.7	14.7	-1.98	14.2	14.4	-0.19
Bryant Reeves	78	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.29	-1	-5	4	13.6	13.3	0.35	14.7	13.0	1.72
Blue Edwards	41	42	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	3	-12	15.5	12.2	3.27	15.3	13.6	1.73
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	82	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.30	-7	1	-8	13.2	15.0	-1.89	14.3	14.2	0.05
Otis Thorpe	75	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.24	-11	5	-16	13.3	14.1	-0.77	13.4	16.9	-3.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.02,0,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 110, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.28,0.44,0.31,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.15,0.11,0,0,0	94.1%
NYK 92, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0	94.0%
CHH 102, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%