NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	97		Excitement	3.7 [1024]		MVP	Gary Payton (SEA): +6.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	109		Comeback	1.1 [1254]		LVP	Brian Shaw (GSW): -12.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd Fuller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dickey Simpkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	17	53%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	59%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
David Vaughn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Erick Dampier	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	68%	0.04	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	15	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Joe Smith	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	45%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Brian Shaw	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.18	-0.01	-0.07	14	34%	-0.03	6	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Payton	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.04	23	59%	0.12	4	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.01	0.07	14	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	15	50%	0.03	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.03	7	90%	0.09	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	1	25%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
James Cotton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.3	0.3	26.7	16.7	25.2	1.7	26.3	129.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +31.0%

SEA +0.6%

SEA +5.5%

SEA +10.4%

SEA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SEA	NBA	GSW	SEA	NBA
this game	14.5	14.6	15.6	99.0	109.0	102.5
season	15.6	15.3		92.9	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.0		102.3	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	10.3	15.7	15.7	15.9	14.5
SEA	20.1	10.9	14.3	13.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Fuller	37	39	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.43	16	-28	44	9.4	17.5	-8.11	17.9	12.5	5.43
Duane Ferrell	10	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-20	28	10.7	14.9	-4.21	11.0	15.0	-4.01
David Vaughn	17	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-18	24	12.4	14.9	-2.57	7.9	16.0	-8.11
Dickey Simpkins	20	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-12	12	14.1	14.6	-0.41	11.7	15.3	-3.61
Brian Shaw	63	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-12	12	13.1	16.9	-3.79	12.4	18.5	-6.12
Adonal Foyle	42	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-4	-4	13.2	15.4	-2.17	19.6	10.9	8.72
Donyell Marshall	69	71	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-1	-10	14.0	15.6	-1.62	15.1	13.3	1.83
Tony Delk	57	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-4	-4	14.8	14.0	0.78	17.2	11.0	6.14
Erick Dampier	48	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.31	-25	13	-38	18.7	10.4	8.25	13.4	15.8	-2.42
Joe Smith	61	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	2	-16	16.3	11.4	4.90	12.2	18.7	-6.45
Bimbo Coles	66	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.24	-24	12	-36	16.1	11.2	4.84	15.0	13.7	1.26

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	72	71	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.19	24	-12	36	11.7	22.0	-10.26	15.5	11.8	3.68
Hersey Hawkins	69	67	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.19	20	-8	28	14.9	14.1	0.79	13.8	15.9	-2.08
Dale Ellis	46	45	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	0	12	19.8	10.2	9.62	16.4	12.9	3.51
Gary Payton	70	67	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	2	8	15.2	13.2	2.06	13.9	15.8	-1.89
Vin Baker	70	67	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.01	8	4	4	15.7	12.0	3.78	14.2	15.2	-1.00
Aaron Williams	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.34	-4	16	-20	12.0	16.9	-4.92	15.3	13.7	1.53
Jim McIlvaine	42	41	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	6	0	12.0	16.5	-4.50	13.5	15.2	-1.66
Sam Perkins	15	16	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.06	8	4	4	30.7	11.8	18.97	16.9	14.0	2.86
Greg Anthony	35	36	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.22	-2	14	-16	13.1	15.4	-2.26	15.5	13.9	1.66
David Wingate	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.21	-7	19	-26	10.5	15.3	-4.78	10.6	15.1	-4.46
Stephen Howard	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	19	-26	11.0	15.0	-4.01	10.7	14.9	-4.21
James Cotton	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	20	-28	11.0	15.0	-4.01	10.7	14.9	-4.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 90, MIN 100	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
SAC 69, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CHI 103, TOR 112	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%