NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	90		Excitement	3.6 [1049]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (MIN): +5.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Comeback	1.0 [1243]		LVP	Corey Benjamin (CHI): -20.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Ruffin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Tarlac	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	71%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Khalid El-Amin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	13	39%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.01	0.02	13	50%	-0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	14	51%	-0.04	2	-0.02	11	73%	-0.01
Corey Benjamin	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.24	-0.01	-0.04	15	21%	-0.13	4	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	14	65%	0.11	5	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	15	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	13	85%	0.01
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	7	65%	0.03	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	6	69%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd Day	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	16	50%	0.03	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.6	29.1	16.7	27.4	1.6	28.0	127.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +26.5%

MIN +20.8%

CHI -4.2%

MIN +4.0%

MIN +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIN	NBA	CHI	MIN	NBA
this game	17.6	13.7	15.5	97.8	108.7	100.9
season	16.4	15.0		95.2	102.9
opponent	15.9	15.1		101.7	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.5	17.6	16.4	18.9	17.6
MIN	13.8	12.4	14.2	14.7	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dalibor Bagaric	12	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-11	12	15.6	17.9	-2.28	16.0	13.4	2.63
Jake Voskuhl	23	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-11	12	17.5	17.6	-0.06	14.6	13.4	1.16
Dragan Tarlac	59	60	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.20	1	-11	12	17.3	18.1	-0.87	14.0	13.2	0.75
Jamal Crawford	55	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.29	3	-13	16	16.5	19.2	-2.72	14.2	12.9	1.31
Khalid El-Amin	65	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.08	-7	-3	-4	17.6	17.5	0.07	13.3	14.6	-1.30
Marcus Fizer	64	65	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.00	-11	1	-12	18.1	16.3	1.79	13.5	14.3	-0.79
Michael Ruffin	39	37	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.05	-14	4	-18	18.0	17.2	0.75	12.9	14.3	-1.37
Metta World Peace	61	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-1	-8	18.0	16.6	1.39	13.7	13.7	-0.00
Corey Benjamin	82	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.11	-15	5	-20	17.8	15.4	2.43	13.5	15.8	-2.36

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	78	79	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	0	10	13.9	13.0	0.87	17.7	16.7	1.02
LaPhonso Ellis	49	50	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	-1	12	13.1	14.5	-1.41	17.8	17.3	0.51
Terrell Brandon	72	70	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	0	10	14.0	12.6	1.39	17.2	18.6	-1.35
Kevin Garnett	67	67	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-1	12	14.0	13.0	0.96	17.6	17.4	0.28
Sam Mitchell	35	34	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	0	10	13.3	14.0	-0.73	16.6	18.1	-1.55
Wally Szczerbiak	54	55	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	4	2	13.9	13.5	0.45	18.1	16.8	1.26
Rasho Nesterovic	59	58	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	4	2	13.9	13.5	0.40	18.1	16.7	1.36
Anthony Peeler	34	35	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.12	0	10	-10	12.8	14.3	-1.50	17.9	17.4	0.52
Dean Garrett	6	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	17	-24	14.5	13.7	0.81	13.1	17.9	-4.79
Todd Day	6	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	17	-24	15.0	13.7	1.35	15.6	17.7	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.87,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 97, SEA 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
PHI 78, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
ORL 94, MEM 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.1%