inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 90 Excitement4.5 [878] MVPAvery Johnson (SAS): +13.7%
San Antonio Spurs 115 Comeback1.3 [1010] LVPClyde Drexler (HOU): -14.8%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Bullard0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.02-0.00757%0.0600.0000%0.00
Eddie Johnson0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.06-0.000.02867%0.0400.005100%0.02
Charles Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mario Elie0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00275%0.0010.0000%0.00
Emanual Davis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charles Barkley-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.06-0.01-0.051844%0.011-0.03743%-0.05
Brent Price-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.01520%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Othella Harrington-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.09-0.01-0.05821%-0.0500.00367%0.00
Kevin Willis-0.060,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.010.02954%-0.022-0.04683%0.01
Rodrick Rhodes-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.010.03745%-0.081-0.02875%-0.03
Matt Maloney-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.04-0.00833%-0.062-0.072100%0.01
Clyde Drexler-0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.12-0.03-0.001335%-0.112-0.04560%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Avery Johnson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.120.050.031966%0.151-0.013100%0.00
David Robinson0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.160.040.071589%0.275-0.148100%0.03
Reggie Geary0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.010.04580%0.0200.0000%0.00
Monty Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.010.001350%0.031-0.032100%0.02
Chuck Person0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01350%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Carl Herrera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.080.00-0.08312%0.0010.00250%0.00
Cory Alexander00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Vinny Del Negro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.001350%-0.0100.00887%0.02
Will Perdue0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.000.00475%0.053-0.0700%0.00
Jaren Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.020.04275%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.73.525.816.829.21.029.2131.2
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +63.7%
SAS +3.9%
HOU -7.7%
HOU -12.6%
SAS +2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUSASNBAHOUSASNBA
this game15.315.015.695.7119.8102.5
season15.715.9104.5100.9
opponent15.915.297.2105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU15.016.914.315.315.3
SAS15.017.413.914.115.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rodrick Rhodes38400.03-0.530.560.21-6-191315.914.91.0315.614.60.97
Charles Jones23240.00-0.500.510.36-12-13115.215.3-0.1214.315.2-0.90
Brent Price32330.00-0.500.510.06-2-232116.714.62.0415.314.80.49
Mario Elie1213-0.00-0.500.500.18-6-191313.615.6-1.9814.415.1-0.72
Emanual Davis1213-0.00-0.500.500.18-6-191313.615.6-1.9814.415.1-0.72
Eddie Johnson3535-0.02-0.480.450.06-3-221916.614.52.1014.915.1-0.24
Charles Barkley5959-0.14-0.360.21-0.03-4-211716.712.93.8615.913.62.30
Othella Harrington4547-0.32-0.18-0.130.12-15-10-514.216.4-2.2114.215.8-1.52
Matt Bullard4749-0.49-0.01-0.49-0.03-16-9-714.815.9-1.0915.314.70.69
Matt Maloney5050-0.500.00-0.51-0.00-17-8-914.915.8-0.9615.015.1-0.11
Kevin Willis5656-0.510.01-0.51-0.01-17-8-914.915.9-1.0314.615.6-0.97
Clyde Drexler6161-0.550.05-0.600.07-21-4-1714.816.2-1.4415.015.1-0.12

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Avery Johnson73740.460.040.41-0.282502514.815.5-0.6715.215.5-0.31
David Robinson56590.420.080.34-0.262322114.715.4-0.7116.413.43.00
Chuck Person47480.400.100.31-0.3626-12713.516.5-2.9815.015.7-0.72
Vinny Del Negro58550.400.100.30-0.161961314.116.4-2.3315.315.4-0.13
Will Perdue66630.390.110.270.091015-515.414.21.1314.616.7-2.14
Tim Duncan81800.350.150.20-0.272141715.612.03.5715.812.63.13
Jaren Jackson34360.100.40-0.30-0.14817-916.914.02.9015.715.10.67
Reggie Geary23200.040.46-0.410.04025-2515.514.80.6715.515.20.31
Carl Herrera1190.000.50-0.500.03-126-2714.615.1-0.4212.215.6-3.41
Cory Alexander430.000.50-0.500.06-227-2912.515.1-2.6211.315.4-4.11
Malik Rose650.000.50-0.500.00025-2515.515.00.5211.815.5-3.71
Monty Williams2118-0.060.56-0.610.06-429-3316.014.71.2715.515.30.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 86, CHI 940.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.84,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%
PHX 94, DAL 1040.5,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,195.2%
ORL 102, LAC 1100.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.9,1,195.2%