NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	94		Excitement	4.6 [923]		MVP	Raymond Felton (DAL): +12.5%
Dallas Mavericks	104		Comeback	1.1 [927]		LVP	Alex Len (PHX): -18.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.02	0.04	17	56%	0.10	2	-0.05	7	86%	-0.00
Ronnie Price	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Sonny Weems	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.02	3	90%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Archie Goodwin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	46%	-0.01	1	-0.00	5	0%	-0.03
Brandon Knight	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	11	55%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.03	11	58%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Mirza Teletovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	9	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	7	14%	-0.12	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.03	-0.01	11	71%	0.15	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	2	89%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	10	68%	0.07	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	-0.00	-0.04	13	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	56%	0.08	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.01	0.05	8	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	10%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	16	56%	0.05	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.4	31.6	16.3	22.4	2.5	40.3	137.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +50.4%

DAL +2.0%

PHX -3.2%

PHX -2.5%

DAL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	13.3	16.1	14.9	94.9	107.2	105.1
season	14.4	15.5		100.9	105.0
opponent	14.7	14.4		106.5	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.1	13.0	17.9	9.4	13.3
DAL	13.1	14.7	21.1	17.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
TJ Warren	43	42	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-18	26	10.7	15.3	-4.61	16.4	15.9	0.48
Archie Goodwin	25	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.36	12	-22	34	9.0	14.7	-5.73	17.0	15.9	1.10
Devin Booker	10	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-10	10	13.7	13.2	0.46	14.2	16.4	-2.20
Sonny Weems	29	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.24	7	-17	24	9.6	14.8	-5.18	16.8	15.9	0.97
Alex Len	45	44	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-10	10	13.2	13.3	-0.11	16.1	16.2	-0.12
Jon Leuer	68	66	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.43	12	-22	34	12.1	15.8	-3.72	17.0	14.4	2.61
Eric Bledsoe	77	77	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.31	7	-17	24	12.4	16.2	-3.79	16.7	13.9	2.75
Ronnie Price	34	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.18	-20	10	-30	15.4	12.2	3.24	14.5	17.0	-2.52
Mirza Teletovic	31	31	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.23	-22	12	-34	15.8	12.1	3.72	14.4	17.0	-2.61
Tyson Chandler	25	25	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.07	-17	7	-24	17.6	11.8	5.83	15.5	16.4	-0.88
Brandon Knight	62	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.08	-19	9	-28	14.9	10.6	4.29	16.0	16.3	-0.34
PJ Tucker	46	44	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.03	-18	8	-26	15.6	11.2	4.39	16.4	15.9	0.42

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	68	70	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.01	15	-5	20	16.5	15.2	1.37	13.3	13.2	0.16
Wesley Matthews	64	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.14	10	0	10	17.0	14.5	2.41	13.4	13.0	0.38
Zaza Pachulia	55	56	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	-2	14	16.4	15.7	0.70	14.4	11.9	2.47
Chandler Parsons	56	56	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.04	12	-2	14	15.2	17.4	-2.13	13.9	12.4	1.53
Dirk Nowitzki	58	59	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	6	-2	16.1	16.3	-0.20	13.7	12.7	0.94
Raymond Felton	67	69	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.37	-5	15	-20	17.3	13.5	3.86	12.3	15.4	-3.09
Devin Harris	50	51	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	9	-8	15.3	17.0	-1.76	12.3	14.4	-2.12
Dwight Powell	36	37	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	6	-2	14.7	17.0	-2.24	12.8	13.6	-0.75
Jose Juan Barea	31	31	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.19	-3	13	-16	15.2	16.6	-1.33	13.4	13.2	0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 88, CHH 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
GSW 82, CLE 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
HOU 90, SAS 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%