NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	92		Excitement	3.9 [988]		MVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): +10.6%
Atlanta Hawks	77		Comeback	2.3 [120]		LVP	Alan Henderson (ATL): -15.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.14	0.02	0.05	16	72%	0.13	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Gary Trent	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.04	0.01	-0.08	11	60%	0.08	3	-0.02	13	85%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	13	58%	0.05	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alton Lister	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vincent Askew	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	2	67%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	15	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	7	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Greg Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	12	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	44%	-0.06	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.05
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	0.03	10	55%	-0.03	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	13	23%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	13	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.17	-0.02	-0.04	12	25%	-0.14	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.3	30.4	15.5	26.4	1.6	29.2	130.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +39.0%

POR +10.7%

ATL -6.5%

POR +3.5%

POR +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	ATL	NBA	POR	ATL	NBA
this game	17.3	14.4	15.6	101.1	84.6	102.5
season	15.9	16.1		101.9	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.4		101.5	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.2	15.4	19.2	16.5	17.3
ATL	13.9	15.2	15.1	13.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent	65	64	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.12	27	-12	39	16.0	20.5	-4.53	14.0	15.3	-1.30
Jermaine O'Neal	39	39	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-3	21	16.6	17.7	-1.09	15.0	13.9	1.12
Kenny Anderson	74	73	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	-2	19	16.7	19.5	-2.79	13.7	17.2	-3.47
Rasheed Wallace	79	80	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.05	9	6	3	17.8	13.5	4.34	14.1	16.4	-2.25
Isaiah Rider	77	78	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.11	6	9	-3	17.7	14.9	2.84	14.9	11.2	3.77
Vincent Askew	52	51	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	20	-25	17.1	17.5	-0.44	13.2	15.8	-2.61
Kelvin Cato	29	31	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	11	-7	18.1	16.9	1.18	14.1	14.5	-0.39
Alton Lister	21	20	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	14	-13	17.9	17.1	0.83	16.9	13.7	3.29
Alvin Williams	17	18	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	17	-19	19.5	16.7	2.79	17.2	13.7	3.47
Rick Brunson	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	18.5	17.2	1.26	9.0	14.4	-5.44

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Crawford	10	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	10.0	14.9	-4.93	15.1	17.6	-2.47
Drew Barry	15	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-18	21	14.0	14.5	-0.46	17.8	17.2	0.64
Chucky Brown	28	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-14	13	12.7	15.1	-2.36	16.6	17.6	-1.00
Christian Laettner	50	53	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.06	-5	-10	5	14.7	14.0	0.61	19.2	14.6	4.56
Dikembe Mutombo	53	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-16	17	15.4	13.0	2.42	18.5	15.7	2.79
Eldridge Recasner	36	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-7	-1	13.2	15.2	-2.02	17.1	17.4	-0.24
Greg Anderson	30	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	-3	-9	12.6	15.3	-2.66	16.2	17.8	-1.55
Mookie Blaylock	70	71	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-3	-9	14.5	14.0	0.44	17.3	17.2	0.08
Tyrone Corbin	62	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.11	-18	3	-21	14.9	13.2	1.73	16.7	18.5	-1.79
Steven Smith	61	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	-2	-11	15.1	13.0	2.12	17.2	17.4	-0.20
Alan Henderson	40	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	-1	-13	15.4	13.6	1.86	15.9	18.3	-2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 120, NOP 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
MIL 97, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
SAS 86, DEN 65	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%