NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	120		Excitement	4.1 [1029]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (MIN): +12.8%
New Orleans Pelicans	102		Comeback	1.8 [297]		LVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): -6.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.02	-0.03	12	73%	0.15	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.15	0.00	0.07	18	68%	0.12	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.02	0.02	13	68%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.00	0.06	9	76%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	7	62%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	11	48%	0.03	1	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Marcus Georges-Hunt	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	7	69%	0.06	6	-0.12	2	100%	0.03

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	13	59%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.02	0.06	20	64%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	4	87%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cheick Diallo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	15	52%	0.05	4	-0.06	3	67%	-0.03
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	0.00	0.06	10	60%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.0	29.0	15.6	24.5	2.3	24.6	121.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +33.9%

MIN +1.6%

MIN +9.0%

MIN +2.3%

MIN +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NOP	NBA	MIN	NOP	NBA
this game	16.2	13.5	14.7	123.7	105.2	107.5
season	15.3	13.6		111.8	108.0
opponent	14.6	14.4		107.0	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.6	14.3	15.6	21.4	16.2
NOP	12.6	14.0	13.8	13.9	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Jones	85	86	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.12	20	-2	22	15.8	19.0	-3.24	13.4	14.4	-0.95
Taj Gibson	77	76	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	4	10	16.0	16.9	-0.93	13.3	14.3	-0.97
Andrew Wiggins	76	76	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	5	8	15.6	18.1	-2.46	13.1	14.9	-1.76
Gorgui Dieng	72	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	3	12	16.6	14.9	1.68	13.9	12.6	1.24
Jimmy Butler	67	65	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	2	14	15.7	17.1	-1.35	14.1	12.4	1.62
Jamal Crawford	49	51	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	14	-10	17.8	14.5	3.38	13.4	13.7	-0.36
Karl-Anthony Towns	43	45	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	14	-10	16.1	16.2	-0.13	13.3	13.7	-0.44
Aaron Brooks	14	13	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.01	1	17	-16	17.6	15.9	1.73	14.5	13.4	1.08
Marcus Georges-Hunt	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	15	-12	9.5	16.3	-6.81	15.0	13.5	1.51

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cheick Diallo	8	8	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-21	24	9.0	13.9	-4.93	17.5	16.0	1.46
Ian Clark	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-18	18	11.4	13.6	-2.24	18.4	16.0	2.36
Tony Allen	30	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-24	30	13.0	13.8	-0.76	18.0	15.3	2.70
Anthony Davis	39	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-17	16	12.5	14.2	-1.69	15.4	16.6	-1.18
Rajon Rondo	56	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.11	-8	-10	2	12.8	14.6	-1.79	15.8	16.6	-0.81
Darius Miller	48	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-5	-8	14.2	12.8	1.39	17.7	14.7	3.06
E'Twaun Moore	56	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	-5	-8	13.8	13.2	0.61	15.1	17.6	-2.46
Dante Cunningham	36	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.03	-13	-5	-8	14.8	12.8	2.04	13.8	17.7	-3.86
Jrue Holiday	78	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-3	-12	13.3	14.6	-1.31	15.8	17.5	-1.63
DeMarcus Cousins	78	78	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.11	-18	0	-18	13.8	12.5	1.31	16.2	15.9	0.34
Jameer Nelson	51	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.08	-18	0	-18	14.5	12.4	2.08	17.4	14.9	2.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 103, MEM 83	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
BOS 106, CLE 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.22,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
POR 92, ATL 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%