inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 86 Excitement3.3 [691] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +10.6%
Denver Nuggets 65 Comeback2.3 [527] LVPDanny Fortson (DEN): -8.6%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0.110,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.100.00-0.001865%0.121-0.02786%0.01
Antonio Daniels0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.01-0.00875%0.1000.0000%0.00
David Robinson0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.011057%0.051-0.0210%-0.01
Jaren Jackson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.03961%0.021-0.0000%0.00
Malik Rose0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.110.00-0.12633%0.012-0.006100%0.01
Will Perdue0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Andrew Gaze0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Steve Kerr-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Mario Elie-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01540%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Sean Elliott-0.040,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.09-0.00-0.05720%-0.031-0.021100%0.00
Jerome Kersey-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.000.01650%-0.013-0.0500%0.00
Avery Johnson-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.110.00-0.03922%-0.032-0.0400%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.04-0.010.021357%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Eric Washington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Loren Meyer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.00-0.03542%-0.011-0.00250%-0.01
Bryant Stith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.070.00-0.05425%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00850%-0.021-0.016100%0.02
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.01050%-0.012-0.05250%-0.01
Antonio McDyess0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.011453%0.013-0.07475%0.00
Johnny Taylor0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.12-0.00-0.051023%-0.051-0.01250%0.00
Cory Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.18-0.00-0.1150%-0.035-0.0400%0.00
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.13-0.01-0.051025%-0.061-0.02450%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.21.827.214.822.71.821.6112.1
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +38.0%
SAS +1.9%
SAS +2.1%
SAS +7.1%
SAS +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDENNBASASDENNBA
this game16.615.115.894.571.499.6
season15.915.5101.1100.7
opponent15.615.9107.692.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.015.717.117.516.6
DEN14.717.013.515.215.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Antonio Daniels34340.52-0.020.55-0.3630-93916.116.9-0.7716.114.51.66
Jaren Jackson51520.390.110.28-0.222102116.316.9-0.6315.414.60.81
Jerome Kersey44450.350.150.21-0.181831515.317.7-2.3815.814.41.39
Tim Duncan63650.340.150.19-0.01129316.217.4-1.1315.414.40.97
Will Perdue35350.250.250.00-0.221651116.616.60.0515.015.1-0.08
David Robinson56560.250.25-0.000.10516-1116.616.6-0.0515.115.00.08
Malik Rose28260.150.34-0.19-0.11912-317.416.21.1314.415.4-0.97
Sean Elliott42420.150.35-0.210.12120-1917.216.01.2414.615.5-0.94
Mario Elie40390.110.39-0.280.11021-2116.916.30.6314.615.4-0.81
Steve Kerr14140.000.50-0.500.03-122-2318.016.31.6914.215.2-1.02
Andrew Gaze540.000.50-0.50-0.06219-1721.816.35.5312.515.2-2.70
Avery Johnson4343-0.020.52-0.550.21-829-3716.516.6-0.1614.515.6-1.03

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Washington1111-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-222313.115.3-2.2619.516.23.38
Loren Meyer1111-0.00-0.500.50-0.031-222313.115.3-2.2619.516.23.38
Johnny Taylor5757-0.10-0.400.30-0.162-232514.016.8-2.7917.415.32.09
Chauncey Billups5455-0.15-0.350.19-0.150-212114.416.0-1.5616.516.7-0.30
Cory Alexander2830-0.19-0.310.130.17-12-9-315.614.80.7717.116.30.79
Danny Fortson5555-0.20-0.300.090.06-9-12315.514.50.9517.115.81.22
Nick Van Exel6361-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.05-9-12314.815.6-0.7716.317.1-0.79
Eric Williams3938-0.35-0.15-0.210.23-20-1-1915.814.51.2616.616.50.06
Antonio McDyess7070-0.37-0.13-0.250.13-17-4-1314.915.7-0.7716.317.6-1.36
Bryant Stith3535-0.39-0.11-0.290.31-243-2717.213.73.5015.117.5-2.41
Keon Clark3232-0.42-0.08-0.350.11-18-3-1515.914.61.2314.817.5-2.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.2,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 93, BKN 760.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.9%
MIL 97, MIA 810.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%
POR 92, ATL 770.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.1%