inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 77 Excitement3.7 [1029] MVPSteve Nash (PHX): +6.4%
Phoenix Suns 93 Comeback1.1 [1243] LVPJason Kidd (PHX): -10.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bobby Jackson0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.010.011656%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Anthony Goldwire0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.050.000.03583%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Kiwane Garris0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Washington-0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.020.021164%0.033-0.0500%0.00
Tony Battie-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.04-0.01-0.03944%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Danny Fortson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.0230%-0.0510.0000%0.00
LaPhonso Ellis-0.060,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.020.021150%-0.012-0.052100%0.01
Dean Garrett-0.070,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.020.01367%0.013-0.0800%0.00
Joe Wolf-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.00-0.01250%0.005-0.1000%0.00
Johnny Newman-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.010.01850%-0.034-0.07250%-0.01

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.00-0.00583%0.101-0.032100%0.01
Danny Manning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.00956%0.0300.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.100.000.071565%0.0300.00786%0.01
Mark Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.01956%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Rex Chapman0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.03944%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Brooks Thompson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marko Milic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01175%0.0010.00250%0.00
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.040.00-0.02233%-0.011-0.012100%0.01
Cedric Ceballos0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.03729%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Clifford Robinson0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.041345%-0.023-0.05771%0.00
Jason Kidd0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.09-0.010.00839%-0.043-0.062100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.51.525.616.419.42.424.6111.3
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +6.6%
PHX +6.6%
PHX +7.4%
PHX +26.9%
PHX +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENPHXNBADENPHXNBA
this game17.716.215.690.6109.4102.5
season16.215.096.7105.3
opponent15.915.2100.0109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN19.117.517.117.117.7
PHX16.914.517.116.416.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kiwane Garris660.00-0.500.50-0.031-17185.818.6-12.7712.316.5-4.14
Anthony Goldwire3028-0.12-0.380.26-0.09-1-151417.218.0-0.7815.616.5-0.85
Eric Washington6465-0.14-0.360.21-0.171-171817.817.30.4916.515.21.28
Joe Wolf3434-0.18-0.320.13-0.01-6-10419.016.82.1616.216.20.05
Tony Battie5758-0.23-0.270.03-0.09-5-11616.420.4-3.9516.216.2-0.01
Danny Fortson3433-0.27-0.23-0.030.03-10-6-417.817.60.1515.516.6-1.13
Dean Garrett4445-0.30-0.20-0.110.02-11-5-618.616.71.8816.715.61.04
Johnny Newman3636-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.03-11-5-617.617.8-0.1216.116.2-0.16
LaPhonso Ellis5959-0.41-0.09-0.330.08-171-1818.316.41.9016.715.01.69
Bobby Jackson6161-0.48-0.02-0.460.14-215-2618.316.31.9716.016.5-0.45

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rex Chapman50510.430.070.36-0.011511416.915.11.8119.215.43.82
Steve Nash58580.410.090.330.001421215.617.4-1.8017.318.6-1.30
Mark Bryant50500.380.120.260.03124817.214.72.4418.117.10.96
Danny Manning34330.350.150.19-0.00124816.316.10.2519.516.53.01
Clifford Robinson61630.270.230.030.0097215.917.0-1.1518.216.31.93
Antonio McDyess68680.200.30-0.110.08412-816.116.6-0.5917.419.0-1.62
Cedric Ceballos22210.190.31-0.13-0.0588016.416.10.2517.117.9-0.75
Jason Kidd56550.160.34-0.190.04412-816.515.51.0018.017.10.88
George McCloud14140.120.38-0.260.00412-815.616.3-0.7217.217.8-0.59
Brooks Thompson660.000.50-0.500.03-117-1812.316.5-4.145.818.6-12.77
Marko Milic660.000.50-0.500.03-117-1812.316.5-4.145.818.6-12.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 89, ORL 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.89,0.82,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
ORL 77, BKN 970.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
PHX 92, SEA 1160.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.86,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.5%