NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	77		Excitement	3.8 [1064]		MVP	Deron Williams (BKN): +15.1%
Brooklyn Nets	97		Comeback	1.2 [1227]		LVP	JJ Redick (ORL): -17.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	13	69%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.01	0.04	10	80%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	13	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	60%	0.02
Kyle O'Quinn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeQuan Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	12	37%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.18	-0.02	-0.02	13	19%	-0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	-0.00	0.00	12	83%	0.16	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	7	86%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	10	62%	0.06	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	80%	0.11	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	117%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyshawn Taylor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	4	62%	-0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	11	32%	-0.05	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	1.8	25.3	15.7	25.3	2.6	26.8	119.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +29.0%

BKN +5.1%

BKN +17.4%

ORL -2.6%

BKN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BKN	NBA	ORL	BKN	NBA
this game	16.4	16.3	15.4	86.5	111.5	104.1
season	15.5	16.5		100.3	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.2	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.8	16.2	15.7	16.9	16.4
BKN	16.7	15.8	17.8	15.1	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-24	28	14.9	16.5	-1.67	17.9	16.2	1.66
Andrew Nicholson	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-26	32	13.7	16.6	-2.91	17.9	16.2	1.66
Ish Smith	8	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-24	28	14.9	16.5	-1.67	17.9	16.2	1.66
JJ Redick	69	69	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	-12	4	16.5	16.0	0.51	16.3	16.5	-0.21
Jameer Nelson	70	69	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	-10	0	16.5	15.9	0.63	16.3	16.5	-0.21
DeQuan Jones	17	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.02	-8	-12	4	15.2	16.7	-1.50	17.7	16.0	1.69
Glen Davis	72	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	-8	-4	16.6	15.5	1.14	16.4	16.1	0.33
E'Twaun Moore	18	18	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-9	-2	15.7	16.6	-0.91	16.1	16.4	-0.28
Maurice Harkless	61	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-6	-8	17.4	14.2	3.23	16.1	16.7	-0.59
Nikola Vucevic	70	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.17	-17	-3	-14	16.6	15.5	1.17	16.4	16.1	0.36
Hedo Turkoglu	24	23	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-7	-6	15.0	16.9	-1.91	15.9	16.5	-0.63
Gustavo Ayon	21	21	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.17	-21	1	-22	16.3	16.4	-0.14	14.9	16.8	-1.95

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	31	32	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.18	20	0	20	15.7	16.7	-1.02	16.2	16.5	-0.37
Keith Bogans	35	37	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.33	24	-4	28	16.0	16.5	-0.51	16.5	16.3	0.16
Deron Williams	60	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.05	11	9	2	16.4	16.2	0.16	16.6	15.9	0.72
MarShon Brooks	34	36	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.16	6	14	-8	15.8	16.7	-0.93	14.8	17.5	-2.62
Andray Blatche	39	39	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	18	-16	16.6	16.1	0.51	14.2	18.1	-3.99
Brook Lopez	48	50	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.30	18	2	16	16.1	16.6	-0.51	18.1	14.2	3.99
Joe Johnson	53	53	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.24	14	6	8	16.7	15.8	0.93	17.5	14.8	2.62
CJ Watson	27	26	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.13	9	11	-2	16.2	16.4	-0.16	15.9	16.6	-0.72
Gerald Wallace	48	48	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	20	-20	16.5	16.1	0.37	16.6	16.1	0.55
Mirza Teletovic	21	21	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.03	2	18	-16	15.9	16.5	-0.63	16.7	16.3	0.36
Reggie Evans	35	36	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	22	-24	17.2	15.7	1.45	16.4	16.4	0.09
Tyshawn Taylor	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	24	-28	17.0	16.3	0.70	12.5	16.6	-4.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 99, ATL 110	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.7%
DEN 77, PHX 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.6%
PHI 88, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%