NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	92		Excitement	4.6 [872]		MVP	Detlef Schrempf (SEA): +14.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	116		Comeback	1.1 [972]		LVP	Kevin Johnson (PHX): -16.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.03	0.03	19	65%	0.19	3	-0.09	2	50%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.03	12	71%	0.10	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Meyer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.00	0.05	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	0.06	2	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Rex Chapman	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.02	-0.01	0.10	13	57%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Johnson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.02	0.05	27	35%	-0.15	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.01	0.04	14	80%	0.14	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.03	0.05	7	95%	0.12	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	9	71%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Terry Cummings	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	75%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jim McIlvaine	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Larry Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	12	60%	0.04	3	-0.08	11	82%	0.02
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	47%	-0.02	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	0.01	-0.02	26	34%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	46.7	2.7	32.4	18.8	25.2	2.6	32.3	160.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +12.5%

SEA +14.2%

SEA +10.9%

SEA +11.0%

SEA +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SEA	NBA	PHX	SEA	NBA
this game	14.8	15.8	15.6	97.9	123.4	104.4
season	14.6	14.9		106.8	108.9
opponent	16.2	15.6		100.8	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	18.8	14.9	11.6	14.3	14.8
SEA	13.9	13.9	18.4	17.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Brown	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-22	20	14.0	14.8	-0.84	12.0	16.0	-3.96
Loren Meyer	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-22	20	14.0	14.8	-0.84	13.2	15.9	-2.69
Steve Nash	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-22	20	12.4	14.9	-2.54	14.8	15.9	-1.09
Hot Rod Williams	43	44	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.09	2	-26	28	14.8	14.8	-0.08	17.1	14.7	2.37
Mark Bryant	15	14	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	-13	2	17.6	14.3	3.32	13.7	16.2	-2.49
Cedric Ceballos	39	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.29	-19	-5	-14	13.8	15.5	-1.69	14.7	16.7	-2.08
Wesley Person	87	87	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.10	-13	-11	-2	14.0	25.3	-11.32	15.9	14.4	1.51
Jason Kidd	83	84	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-9	-6	15.3	11.2	4.11	16.5	10.1	6.41
Rex Chapman	73	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	-7	-10	14.9	14.6	0.24	15.6	16.6	-0.99
Kevin Johnson	85	83	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.16	-21	-3	-18	15.0	13.2	1.75	16.2	13.2	3.00
Danny Manning	34	33	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.12	-20	-4	-16	15.7	14.3	1.41	14.9	16.3	-1.42

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	49	51	0.65	-0.15	0.79	-0.17	28	-4	32	15.7	16.0	-0.28	15.7	13.8	1.88
Gary Payton	90	91	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.15	22	2	20	15.9	13.2	2.69	14.8	14.0	0.84
Detlef Schrempf	80	82	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.15	21	3	18	16.4	12.6	3.74	15.2	12.2	3.03
Shawn Kemp	72	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.04	14	10	4	16.7	13.1	3.58	15.5	12.1	3.38
David Wingate	40	40	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.27	21	3	18	16.6	15.3	1.34	14.0	15.4	-1.41
Hersey Hawkins	80	80	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.17	15	9	6	15.5	17.6	-2.13	14.4	17.1	-2.66
Jim McIlvaine	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	13.2	15.9	-2.69	14.0	14.8	-0.84
Larry Stewart	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	13.2	15.9	-2.69	14.0	14.8	-0.84
Eric Snow	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	22	-20	13.2	15.9	-2.69	14.0	14.8	-0.84
Greg Graham	5	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	24	-24	10.6	16.1	-5.52	10.5	15.0	-4.50
Terry Cummings	42	39	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.15	-7	31	-38	14.5	16.9	-2.45	13.7	15.6	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.91,0.86,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, IND 120	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
DEN 77, PHX 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.79,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CHI 91, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%