NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	87		Excitement	6.4 [495]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (MIA): +24.3%
Miami Heat	92		Comeback	2.4 [803]		LVP	Jim Jackson (PHI): -27.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	13	67%	0.24	2	-0.14	4	75%	-0.02
Derrick Coleman	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07	0.04	0.05	0.02	13	69%	0.16	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.01	3	71%	0.06	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	17	50%	0.08	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Eric Snow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.17	-0.10	0.01	8	28%	-0.14	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.24	0.24	0.18	0.08	0.01	15	79%	0.26	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.02,0.16	0.16	-0.05	0.20	-0.01	24	49%	0.26	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	11	69%	0.14	3	-0.05	7	29%	-0.08
Keith Askins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Murdock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	8	33%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	-0.00	3	30%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	11	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.7	27.0	15.5	25.1	1.5	39.2	135.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +3.9%

PHI -0.5%

MIA +7.5%

MIA +35.5%

MIA +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	16.4	15.9	15.6	97.8	103.4	102.5
season	15.4	15.8		99.7	104.7
opponent	16.2	15.5		99.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.5	17.2	18.7	15.4	16.4
MIA	14.8	14.0	15.6	19.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clar. Weatherspoon	33	34	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-10	15	15.8	16.8	-1.08	15.8	16.0	-0.21
Eric Snow	17	15	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.01	2	-7	9	14.8	16.8	-2.00	21.2	14.9	6.35
Mark Davis	32	31	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-7	9	15.3	17.1	-1.76	14.4	16.8	-2.40
Aaron McKie	17	15	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.03	-3	-2	-1	17.4	16.2	1.13	18.3	15.4	2.82
Terry Cummings	15	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-2	-1	18.2	16.1	2.12	17.9	15.6	2.34
Tim Thomas	53	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.27	-3	-2	-1	17.1	15.4	1.67	16.9	14.3	2.59
Theo Ratliff	51	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-4	3	15.9	17.2	-1.35	15.9	16.0	-0.09
Allen Iverson	72	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.30	-9	4	-13	16.8	14.8	2.00	14.9	21.2	-6.35
Derrick Coleman	79	78	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.30	-9	4	-13	16.8	13.9	2.86	15.7	17.7	-2.06
Jim Jackson	76	77	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.42	-6	1	-7	16.2	17.6	-1.38	15.4	19.3	-3.94

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Mourning	68	68	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.27	25	-20	45	15.4	17.8	-2.41	16.8	15.4	1.38
Tim Hardaway	70	69	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.25	13	-8	21	14.9	19.8	-4.98	16.6	16.0	0.57
P.J. Brown	75	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.31	6	-1	7	15.5	18.2	-2.72	16.7	15.1	1.60
Voshon Lenard	72	72	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.45	-1	6	-7	16.3	14.1	2.23	15.6	20.1	-4.55
Keith Askins	13	13	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.11	10	-5	15	10.9	16.8	-5.85	19.7	15.9	3.81
Jamal Mashburn	71	71	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	10	-15	16.2	15.0	1.15	16.0	18.2	-2.24
Dan Majerle	33	35	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	0	5	16.4	15.7	0.70	17.6	15.7	1.96
Eric Murdock	21	21	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.13	-10	15	-25	19.9	14.7	5.21	15.8	16.6	-0.82
Ike Austin	22	23	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.18	-18	23	-41	18.9	15.0	3.91	15.2	16.9	-1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.73,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.9,0.79,0.78,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.99,1	92.1%
GSW 123, MIN 126	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.64,0.85,0.74,1	91.6%
MIA 91, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.9,0.81,0.66,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.9,1	91.1%