NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	123		Excitement	8.7 [148]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +30.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	126		Comeback	4.0 [192]		LVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): -29.6%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.38,0.46,0.35,0.31	0.21	0.06	-0.03	21	75%	0.39	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	8	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	12	62%	0.15	2	-0.07	8	75%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.26	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.26,-0.26	0.03	-0.22	0.07	20	54%	-0.14	3	-0.11	8	100%	0.04
Monta Ellis	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.3	-0.07	-0.23	-0.01	19	45%	-0.17	4	-0.13	6	100%	0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.22	0.04	0.03	13	76%	0.30	3	-0.07	23	78%	0.02
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	5	85%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	60%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lazar Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.01	14	57%	0.06	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.06	-0.16	-0.01	23	54%	0.07	1	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0.05,-0.04,-0.29	-0.29	-0.09	-0.21	-0.01	16	39%	-0.09	3	-0.19	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	31.4	16.3	28.7	1.6	38.0	144.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +6.6%

MIN +1.7%

MIN +69.4%

GSW -30.4%

MIN +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	12.7	14.7	15.5	117.1	120.0	105.7
season	14.8	14.3		106.6	102.7
opponent	15.1	15.2		109.5	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.6	12.8	14.4	11.9	12.7
MIN	12.8	16.7	12.7	17.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Amundson	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.06	-2	-1	-1	13.8	12.5	1.32	17.3	14.4	2.93
Reggie Williams	29	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.11	-9	6	-15	12.8	12.7	0.10	15.9	14.3	1.62
Vladimir Radmanovic	39	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.39	8	-11	19	12.5	12.8	-0.28	15.5	14.3	1.14
Ekpe Udoh	21	20	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	6	-15	13.8	12.4	1.35	13.9	14.9	-0.98
Andris Biedrins	41	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	3	-9	12.8	12.6	0.20	13.0	15.9	-2.98
Stephen Curry	95	96	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.39	4	-7	11	12.7	12.2	0.54	15.1	10.8	4.34
David Lee	84	85	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.55	8	-11	19	12.4	13.8	-1.35	14.9	13.9	0.98
Monta Ellis	96	95	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.45	3	-6	9	12.4	15.6	-3.14	14.9	13.6	1.26
Acie Law	19	19	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	10	-23	13.8	12.4	1.35	12.3	15.3	-3.03
Dorell Wright	88	88	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.50	1	-4	5	12.5	13.6	-1.08	14.5	15.9	-1.36

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Johnson	82	82	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.21	18	-15	33	14.9	14.0	0.90	12.7	12.7	0.04
Kevin Love	89	90	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.21	18	-15	33	14.9	13.6	1.32	12.8	12.2	0.57
Michael Beasley	70	71	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-10	23	14.9	14.3	0.60	12.5	13.0	-0.46
Luke Ridnour	62	62	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.28	14	-11	25	14.5	15.0	-0.47	12.5	13.0	-0.57
Darko Milicic	30	31	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.14	24	-21	45	12.1	15.8	-3.65	13.4	12.4	1.00
Anthony Tolliver	61	62	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.37	-9	12	-21	15.4	13.8	1.55	12.6	12.8	-0.18
Lazar Hayward	45	44	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.24	-14	17	-31	14.3	15.1	-0.79	13.2	12.3	0.81
Jonny Flynn	43	43	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.13	-11	14	-25	15.0	14.5	0.47	13.0	12.5	0.57
Nikola Pekovic	17	16	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.28	-16	19	-35	18.5	14.0	4.45	12.4	12.7	-0.37
Wayne Ellington	14	13	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.08	-11	14	-25	13.0	15.0	-2.01	11.8	12.8	-0.96
Anthony Randolph	12	11	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.07	-11	14	-25	12.4	15.0	-2.63	10.9	12.9	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.64,0.85,0.74,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, MIA 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.51,0.61,0.73,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.9,0.79,0.78,0.83,1	91.6%
CLE 101, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.28,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.45,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.79,0.81,0.73,0.81,0.64,0.85,0.58,1	91.4%
NJN 92, NOH 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.98,1	90.7%