NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	96		Excitement	6.2 [541]		MVP	Tim Thomas (PHI): +5.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	1.4 [207]		LVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): -22.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	54%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Jason Caffey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Luc Longley	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	12	32%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.03
Scottie Pippen	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	18	51%	-0.05	4	-0.06	7	100%	0.04
Toni Kukoc	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.18,-0.19,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	0.00	7	37%	-0.06	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Jordan	-0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	23	40%	-0.09	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	9	67%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	12	92%	0.05
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.02	0.05	16	69%	0.07	2	-0.05	13	85%	0.02
Rex Walters	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Cummings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.04	0.01	17	44%	-0.00	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.05
Mark Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	8	50%	-0.05	2	-0.02	8	50%	-0.06
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.03	0.03	14	44%	-0.07	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	28.2	15.4	27.3	1.8	31.0	131.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +16.4%

PHI +8.5%

CHI -2.0%

PHI +25.2%

PHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	15.6	103.2	114.0	102.5
season	16.2	15.4		105.8	99.7
opponent	15.5	15.8		102.1	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.8	15.7	18.0	14.2	15.6
PHI	14.6	16.3	14.7	15.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Kerr	21	22	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.06	7	-17	24	14.0	16.1	-2.14	17.5	14.7	2.87
Scott Burrell	13	13	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.26	10	-20	30	13.3	16.0	-2.68	17.0	15.1	1.91
Jud Buechler	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-17	24	10.7	16.1	-5.48	17.9	15.0	2.85
Ron Harper	45	46	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-10	10	16.4	14.8	1.61	16.6	14.1	2.48
Joe Kleine	14	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.11	1	-11	12	13.1	16.1	-2.91	16.4	15.2	1.20
Jason Caffey	19	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-7	4	13.5	16.2	-2.69	13.9	15.7	-1.75
Toni Kukoc	41	40	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-12	14	13.5	17.2	-3.71	14.8	15.8	-0.97
Luc Longley	41	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	-1	-8	17.2	14.3	2.92	16.1	14.7	1.46
Scottie Pippen	77	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	1	-12	16.2	12.7	3.46	15.1	16.9	-1.80
Randy Brown	34	33	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	1	-12	15.0	16.0	-0.97	13.1	16.6	-3.46
Dennis Rodman	78	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.01	-18	8	-26	16.5	10.9	5.58	15.2	16.1	-0.85
Michael Jordan	73	72	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	0.05	-25	15	-40	16.6	12.1	4.48	14.7	17.5	-2.74

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jim Jackson	78	79	0.73	-0.23	0.97	-0.03	26	-16	42	15.2	16.3	-1.09	15.8	14.3	1.56
Clar. Weatherspoon	44	46	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	-4	18	14.7	15.9	-1.23	15.9	15.4	0.51
Theo Ratliff	60	60	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	0	10	14.9	16.1	-1.19	16.2	14.6	1.56
Allen Iverson	77	79	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	-1	12	14.7	18.3	-3.57	15.7	15.0	0.72
Derrick Coleman	65	65	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	4	2	16.1	13.5	2.60	16.0	14.6	1.39
Aaron McKie	42	43	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.05	7	3	4	15.0	15.6	-0.56	15.1	16.1	-0.97
Mark Davis	32	31	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.23	-3	13	-16	15.7	15.1	0.60	17.0	14.9	2.08
Tim Thomas	48	47	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.29	-6	16	-22	16.2	14.4	1.76	14.5	16.8	-2.27
Rex Walters	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	17	-24	20.7	15.2	5.49	4.5	15.9	-11.36
Anthony Parker	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	17	-24	20.7	15.2	5.49	4.5	15.9	-11.36
Terry Cummings	13	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	11	-12	14.7	15.5	-0.77	13.5	15.9	-2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.81,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 98, POR 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
DAL 104, PHX 126	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
DAL 78, PHX 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%