NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	104		Excitement	5.0 [826]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +21.6%
Phoenix Suns	126		Comeback	1.5 [761]		LVP	Devean George (DAL): -6.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerry Stackhouse	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.18	0.01	0.02	16	76%	0.19	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Josh Howard	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	-0.03	-0.00	17	67%	0.12	3	-0.04	8	100%	0.03
Jason Terry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	67%	0.13	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Ager	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	18	47%	0.04	1	-0.04	9	100%	0.05
Devin Harris	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.21	0.06	0.06	17	72%	0.22	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.17	0.03	-0.02	13	80%	0.25	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.02	0.03	10	83%	0.15	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	9	80%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	64%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.02	0.05	11	79%	0.16	5	-0.14	7	100%	0.03
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.02	0.04	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	3.6	35.2	17.8	27.0	2.8	34.2	146.4
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +61.9%

PHX +2.5%

DAL -7.6%

DAL -6.5%

DAL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	17.8	14.9	15.4	118.2	143.2	104.5
season	16.3	13.8		108.7	112.2
opponent	16.0	15.2		105.0	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.1	18.0	17.7	18.4	17.8
PHX	13.6	14.8	15.7	15.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Ager	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-18	14	15.6	17.9	-2.32	14.2	15.0	-0.73
Jose Juan Barea	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-18	14	15.6	17.9	-2.32	14.2	15.0	-0.73
DeSagana Diop	46	46	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	-20	18	17.5	18.1	-0.55	15.5	14.4	1.08
Austin Croshere	16	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.20	-10	-12	2	15.8	18.2	-2.41	11.4	15.8	-4.45
Greg Buckner	36	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.25	-13	-9	-4	16.6	18.6	-1.94	14.6	15.2	-0.51
Devean George	37	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-19	16	18.1	17.5	0.61	15.9	14.2	1.72
Devin Harris	31	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-17	12	17.2	18.1	-0.96	15.2	14.8	0.48
Jerry Stackhouse	52	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	-11	0	18.4	16.9	1.42	14.6	15.5	-0.94
Jason Terry	70	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	-8	-6	17.8	17.7	0.08	15.2	13.9	1.31
Dirk Nowitzki	72	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.04	-19	-3	-16	18.1	16.4	1.72	15.1	14.2	0.95
Josh Howard	70	69	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.09	-25	3	-28	18.6	14.5	4.13	14.9	15.2	-0.27

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	65	64	0.62	-0.12	0.73	-0.06	23	-1	24	15.3	14.0	1.34	18.7	15.3	3.37
Shawn Marion	71	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.02	18	4	14	14.9	15.1	-0.14	17.9	17.3	0.56
Leandro Barbosa	65	66	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.08	18	4	14	14.6	15.9	-1.31	17.3	19.4	-2.11
Amar'e Stoudemire	70	69	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.20	17	5	12	15.6	12.4	3.14	17.7	18.2	-0.48
Raja Bell	76	77	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.25	18	4	14	14.4	18.3	-3.93	17.1	22.3	-5.13
James Jones	36	38	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.06	8	14	-6	13.9	15.7	-1.78	17.9	17.7	0.15
Boris Diaw	55	55	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	16	-10	15.4	14.2	1.27	18.3	16.8	1.50
Eric Piatkowski	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	19.5	14.8	4.66	14.3	17.9	-3.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 96, PHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.81,0.66,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
LAL 101, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.99,1	94.1%
OKC 96, NYK 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1	94.1%