NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	93		Excitement	7.3 [328]		MVP	Chris Mullin (IND): +15.8%
Indiana Pacers	100		Comeback	1.6 [777]		LVP	Jerry Stackhouse (DET): -30.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Dumars	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	21	51%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Bison Dele	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.07	0.07	-0.03	8	45%	0.05	2	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Rick Mahorn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles O'Bannon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Montross	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	29	54%	-0.01	3	-0.08	11	64%	-0.06
Malik Sealy	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.01	3	60%	0.01	2	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.26,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.17	-0.13	0.01	8	37%	-0.07	7	-0.24	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.07	0.02	8	76%	0.16	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	8	73%	0.15	4	-0.10	6	83%	0.03
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.05	-0.01	17	64%	0.11	2	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	1	100%	0.05	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	10	53%	0.01	5	-0.13	10	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.5	26.5	15.0	27.0	1.8	35.1	135.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +43.7%

IND +14.3%

IND +9.0%

DET -22.1%

IND +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	15.4	15.6	98.9	107.5	102.5
season	15.9	16.0		102.8	105.3
opponent	16.1	15.9		99.2	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	11.6	17.5	15.2	18.2	15.4
IND	15.0	16.8	14.8	15.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	25	27	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.15	12	-19	31	18.9	14.1	4.79	16.5	15.0	1.47
Charles O'Bannon	14	13	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.00	1	-8	9	15.1	15.4	-0.26	15.5	15.4	0.02
Grant Long	34	34	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.12	2	-9	11	14.9	15.6	-0.66	16.8	14.7	2.09
Rick Mahorn	39	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.24	3	-10	13	14.7	15.8	-1.06	14.4	16.2	-1.77
Malik Sealy	49	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.42	8	-15	23	16.0	14.7	1.25	15.8	15.0	0.80
Joe Dumars	79	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-8	9	15.9	12.3	3.68	15.5	15.3	0.16
Eric Montross	30	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.15	-17	10	-27	16.2	15.0	1.28	16.3	15.0	1.27
Grant Hill	87	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.31	-6	-1	-5	15.2	17.9	-2.70	15.0	21.0	-6.01
Bison Dele	65	61	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	8	-23	14.8	16.6	-1.77	15.2	15.9	-0.71
Jerry Stackhouse	48	48	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	0.01	-24	17	-41	13.4	17.4	-4.06	14.9	16.0	-1.13

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mullin	51	52	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.11	23	-16	39	14.8	16.2	-1.45	15.4	15.3	0.05
Mark Jackson	69	70	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.20	13	-6	19	15.0	16.7	-1.71	14.6	17.5	-2.82
Reggie Miller	73	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-5	17	15.0	17.1	-2.18	15.0	16.5	-1.50
Dale Davis	55	55	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-9	25	14.6	16.7	-2.06	15.3	15.4	-0.04
Rik Smits	54	56	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	0	7	15.6	15.3	0.27	16.7	13.4	3.35
Derrick McKey	42	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.35	-6	13	-19	16.0	14.9	1.11	15.1	15.6	-0.48
Antonio Davis	35	35	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	10	-13	15.9	15.2	0.67	13.5	16.4	-2.90
Fred Hoiberg	31	31	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.21	-10	17	-27	16.4	15.0	1.47	17.7	14.2	3.55
Travis Best	22	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.12	-8	15	-23	16.6	15.1	1.57	16.6	15.0	1.66
Jalen Rose	33	34	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.10	-9	16	-25	16.7	14.7	1.95	14.5	15.8	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.85,0.93,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 77, ATL 79	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.65,0.39,0.62,0.9,0.97,0.96,1	93.7%
DET 82, ORL 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.9,0.9,1	92.4%
SAS 91, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.53,0.62,0.9,0.93,1,1	92.2%