NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	82		Excitement	8.1 [137]		MVP	Jud Buechler (DET): +23.5%
Orlando Magic	87		Comeback	1.1 [541]		LVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): -23.5%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jud Buechler	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.09	0.13	-0.01	5	90%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Dumars	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	17	40%	-0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Bison Dele	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	17	41%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Don Reid	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	3	30%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Grant Hill	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	0.01	-0.01	19	41%	-0.01	5	-0.12	3	33%	-0.03
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.07	-0.08	0.02	9	58%	-0.04	4	-0.12	8	87%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23	-0.12	-0.11	-0.00	12	29%	-0.12	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	0.01	9	61%	0.08	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	8	58%	0.11	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	69%	0.11	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.04	0.01	16	59%	0.12	5	-0.13	7	71%	-0.02
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Strong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	0.02	11	50%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Dominique Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	3	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.23,-0.23,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.19	0.07	-0.03	14	27%	-0.00	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	1.7	29.3	14.7	23.2	1.8	42.3	134.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +53.2%

ORL +2.4%

ORL +5.3%

DET -8.0%

DET -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ORL	NBA	DET	ORL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.5	15.8	85.4	91.6	99.6
season	16.6	16.1		101.4	98.0
opponent	15.6	16.1		95.7	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.6	14.0	18.5	14.3	15.7
ORL	14.7	14.3	15.8	13.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Montross	11	11	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-9	13	11.5	16.2	-4.67	18.5	13.9	4.60
Loy Vaught	14	13	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-5	5	15.7	15.7	0.04	13.4	14.6	-1.26
Jerome Williams	24	23	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-8	11	14.1	16.2	-2.13	16.3	13.9	2.47
Bison Dele	49	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-4	3	16.4	15.0	1.41	13.6	15.4	-1.80
Lindsey Hunter	66	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	1	-7	16.5	14.0	2.49	14.3	14.8	-0.48
Jud Buechler	38	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-6	7	14.4	16.5	-2.17	13.6	15.0	-1.40
Grant Hill	83	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-3	1	15.3	18.2	-2.95	14.6	13.4	1.26
Jerry Stackhouse	67	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.35	-3	-2	-1	14.5	18.3	-3.82	14.8	13.8	0.98
Joe Dumars	68	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	2	-9	16.6	13.5	3.07	14.3	15.0	-0.74
Don Reid	60	61	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.22	-14	9	-23	17.3	13.0	4.33	14.3	14.7	-0.41

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Anderson	73	72	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.36	14	-9	23	14.0	16.0	-1.99	16.0	14.8	1.13
Horace Grant	81	82	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.34	5	0	5	14.7	13.4	1.31	15.8	14.9	0.96
Anfernee Hardaway	79	83	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	1	3	14.4	14.6	-0.18	15.9	14.4	1.49
Bo Outlaw	58	58	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.07	12	-7	19	15.5	12.8	2.72	17.6	12.7	4.91
Ike Austin	68	68	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.32	2	3	-1	14.2	15.0	-0.79	16.0	14.9	1.16
Michael Doleac	22	23	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	3	-1	16.1	14.0	2.10	15.0	15.9	-0.95
Derek Strong	14	13	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	5	-5	13.4	14.7	-1.31	14.5	15.9	-1.41
Darrell Armstrong	53	54	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.25	-9	14	-23	14.0	15.1	-1.16	13.8	18.0	-4.21
Dominique Wilkins	13	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	7	-9	14.2	14.5	-0.28	16.3	15.6	0.73
Matt Harpring	14	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	8	-11	13.4	14.7	-1.31	11.4	16.4	-5.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.81,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.9,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 63, CLE 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.95,0.99,1	93.3%
POR 96, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.91,0.96,1	92.7%
MIA 91, NJN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.7,0.71,0.8,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.66,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.9,0.96,1	92.6%