NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	77		Excitement	7.5 [312]		MVP	Ira Newble (ATL): +9.9%
Atlanta Hawks	79		Comeback	1.8 [476]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -45.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.06	0.01	10	59%	0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.11,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	0.01	-0.07	-0.03	10	65%	0.09	3	-0.12	6	100%	0.07
Brian Skinner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	5	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	18	47%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	8	55%	0.01	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	4	0%	-0.19	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.10
Allen Iverson	-0.46	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.42,-0.42,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46	-0.31	-0.17	-0.01	28	23%	-0.38	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	-0.01	9	68%	0.16	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	18	64%	0.20	6	-0.14	8	75%	-0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.07	-0.01	14	43%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.05
Emanual Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Matt Maloney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	8	28%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	28.6	15.7	25.6	2.0	36.2	134.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +75.7%

PHI -3.3%

PHI -33.8%

ATL +16.4%

PHI -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	16.7	15.3	15.5	86.5	86.8	101.6
season	15.3	15.1		102.1	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.1	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.7	17.0	16.3	16.8	16.7
ATL	14.0	15.7	15.0	16.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	45	44	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.11	5	-7	12	18.2	15.1	3.15	16.0	14.7	1.39
Brian Skinner	21	20	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-5	8	18.1	16.2	1.85	15.2	15.4	-0.17
Greg Buckner	36	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-4	6	16.4	16.8	-0.40	16.2	14.8	1.41
Todd MacCulloch	24	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	9	-20	16.2	16.9	-0.71	14.5	15.6	-1.12
Kenny Thomas	43	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.37	3	-5	8	16.1	17.2	-1.06	15.7	15.0	0.73
Allen Iverson	77	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-3	4	16.1	20.2	-4.02	14.7	20.5	-5.81
Aaron McKie	63	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.30	-5	3	-8	16.9	16.3	0.59	15.0	16.2	-1.27
Eric Snow	78	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.37	-3	1	-4	16.5	18.0	-1.50	15.4	14.8	0.60
Keith Van Horn	58	61	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.47	-5	3	-8	16.5	17.0	-0.48	15.6	14.8	0.74

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	64	63	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.37	8	-6	14	15.5	15.0	0.42	16.7	16.7	-0.06
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	0	2	15.4	15.1	0.29	16.5	18.0	-1.52
Ira Newble	79	77	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.43	2	0	2	14.9	18.2	-3.27	16.7	16.4	0.31
Jason Terry	77	77	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.40	-1	3	-4	14.9	17.4	-2.48	16.4	18.3	-1.90
Dion Glover	54	54	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	3	-4	15.3	15.4	-0.04	17.1	16.1	0.99
Emanual Davis	34	33	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.07	8	-6	14	15.6	15.2	0.46	16.0	17.1	-1.04
Matt Maloney	17	14	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.16	-2	4	-6	16.5	15.1	1.48	18.1	16.4	1.73
Alan Henderson	19	18	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	2	-2	15.9	15.2	0.71	18.4	16.3	2.14
Darvin Ham	9	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	2	-2	17.1	15.1	1.98	15.9	16.8	-0.89
Nazr Mohammed	24	23	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	8	-14	15.2	15.4	-0.22	16.3	16.8	-0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.65,0.39,0.62,0.9,0.97,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, IND 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.75,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.85,0.93,0.96,1	93.7%
LAC 88, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.59,0.53,0.68,0.93,0.97,0.95,1	93.3%
SAS 91, MEM 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.82,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.53,0.62,0.9,0.93,1,1	93.2%