NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	77		Excitement	7.3 [331]		MVP	Steven Smith (ATL): +7.1%
Atlanta Hawks	82		Comeback	1.1 [825]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -23.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harvey Grant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Chris Webber	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,0,-0.01	-0.07	0.03	-0.03	22	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Chris Whitney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	19	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Davis	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	-0.00	11	54%	0.04	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Tim Legler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ledell Eackles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Rod Strickland	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.17	-0.08	-0.01	16	19%	-0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.03,-0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.06	0.10	-0.04	16	58%	0.24	6	-0.17	6	83%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	9	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	9	67%	0.06	3	-0.09	9	67%	-0.01
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.01
Christian Laettner	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.24	-0.24	-0.07	-0.16	0.01	15	50%	-0.10	4	-0.13	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	1.8	27.1	15.4	24.6	2.4	35.4	128.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +53.4%

WAS -8.0%

ATL +42.1%

WAS -40.5%

ATL +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	17.0	15.6	88.5	94.3	102.5
season	15.1	16.1		102.8	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.6		101.5	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.7	17.5	14.2	17.2	16.1
ATL	16.3	14.4	17.9	19.6	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harvey Grant	7	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-4	3	17.1	16.0	1.12	15.7	17.1	-1.42
Darvin Ham	18	17	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-7	9	15.5	16.3	-0.78	18.6	16.6	1.99
Chris Whitney	3	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-2	-1	24.3	15.8	8.51	16.5	17.0	-0.50
Tim Legler	23	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.12	2	-7	9	14.9	16.6	-1.69	16.6	17.1	-0.58
Terry Davis	15	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	3	-11	17.8	15.8	2.04	12.9	17.8	-4.90
Tracy Murray	49	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.35	6	-11	17	15.3	17.1	-1.81	17.5	16.3	1.24
Ledell Eackles	16	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	0	-5	18.7	15.5	3.15	14.3	17.6	-3.28
Ben Wallace	17	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-5	5	15.6	16.2	-0.65	14.3	17.6	-3.28
Chris Webber	64	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.14	-5	0	-5	16.1	16.2	-0.08	18.1	13.4	4.76
Calbert Cheaney	59	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	0	-5	16.3	15.8	0.49	17.9	15.1	2.83
Rod Strickland	84	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	-3	1	15.8	24.3	-8.51	17.0	16.5	0.50
Juwan Howard	80	81	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.37	-6	1	-7	16.2	15.3	0.90	16.8	20.2	-3.41

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	55	56	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.46	9	-4	13	16.1	18.5	-2.44	17.1	14.4	2.68
Tyrone Corbin	69	68	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.18	15	-10	25	17.3	15.7	1.60	16.9	13.4	3.51
Steven Smith	76	76	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	1	3	16.1	22.9	-6.78	15.8	18.5	-2.78
Chucky Brown	32	33	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	-1	7	19.4	15.6	3.77	17.0	15.6	1.47
Dikembe Mutombo	63	63	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	3	-1	16.7	17.7	-0.94	15.7	17.1	-1.39
Christian Laettner	72	70	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.28	-5	10	-15	16.7	18.2	-1.46	15.4	19.1	-3.66
Eldridge Recasner	68	69	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	11	-17	17.7	14.4	3.35	15.6	18.1	-2.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.86,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 86, SAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.68,0.82,0.76,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.74,1	93.3%
SAS 99, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.86,0.81,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.91,1	92.7%
ATL 82, DEN 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.84,1	91.9%