NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	102		Excitement	4.4 [896]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): +11.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	114		Comeback	1.8 [1034]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -22.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elliot Perry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	61%	0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Ricky Pierce	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	6	71%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jamie Feick	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	54%	0.00	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.01
Andrew Lang	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	9	56%	0.05	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Michael Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	3	46%	-0.02	1	-0.00	7	57%	-0.01
Terrell Brandon	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	13	54%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	7	39%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.17	-0.05	0.01	17	36%	-0.10	5	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.03	-0.04	19	64%	0.12	2	-0.00	21	57%	-0.08
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.02	-0.04	5	80%	0.08	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	7	71%	0.08	3	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Rick Fox	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	13	63%	0.07	5	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	10	63%	0.01	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.6	31.0	0.2	46.8	2.4	27.7	136.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +38.6%

LAL +1.7%

MIL -11.7%

LAL +17.5%

LAL +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAL	NBA	MIL	LAL	NBA
this game	13.9	13.2	15.6	95.3	107.5	102.5
season	16.0	14.8		101.1	110.0
opponent	15.6	15.1		102.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.4	14.5	14.9	11.8	13.9
LAL	10.3	14.9	13.9	13.9	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamie Feick	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-14	16	10.2	14.2	-3.96	15.4	12.9	2.50
Elliot Perry	37	38	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-12	12	12.5	14.6	-2.13	14.2	12.6	1.60
Ervin Johnson	35	37	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-8	4	14.0	13.8	0.22	12.3	13.6	-1.33
Ricky Pierce	37	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-10	8	12.3	14.7	-2.33	13.8	12.8	1.06
Andrew Lang	45	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-9	6	14.4	13.5	0.91	14.4	12.3	2.12
Michael Curry	67	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.19	-2	-10	8	13.4	14.6	-1.24	13.4	12.8	0.62
Ray Allen	38	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	0	-12	15.1	13.2	1.86	12.8	13.4	-0.54
Glenn Robinson	72	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-4	-4	14.4	12.7	1.77	12.8	13.9	-1.19
Armen Gilliam	53	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	0	-12	13.3	14.4	-1.05	13.0	13.3	-0.35
Tyrone Hill	72	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-5	-2	14.3	12.9	1.35	12.7	14.1	-1.44
Terrell Brandon	70	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.08	-12	0	-12	14.6	12.5	2.13	12.6	14.2	-1.60

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	82	84	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.18	9	3	6	12.5	15.5	-3.08	14.1	12.8	1.30
Kobe Bryant	41	41	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	0	12	14.6	12.3	2.32	14.8	13.3	1.55
Shaquille O'Neal	76	78	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	0	12	13.0	13.5	-0.52	14.4	12.3	2.07
Robert Horry	64	64	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	0	12	12.5	14.1	-1.63	14.4	13.1	1.31
Corie Blount	35	36	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	8	-4	13.6	12.9	0.66	12.9	14.4	-1.49
Nick Van Exel	53	53	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	3	6	13.2	13.1	0.13	15.2	12.5	2.69
Derek Fisher	53	54	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.14	3	9	-6	13.1	13.2	-0.13	12.5	15.2	-2.69
Eddie Jones	78	78	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	7	-2	13.1	13.4	-0.32	14.2	12.9	1.26
Elden Campbell	31	30	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	13	-14	14.0	12.8	1.19	13.9	13.8	0.12
Mario Bennett	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	11	-10	12.0	13.2	-1.22	4.8	14.3	-9.49
Jon Barry	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	15.0	13.0	1.95	6.5	14.3	-7.79
Sean Rooks	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	15.0	13.0	1.95	6.5	14.3	-7.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 85, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
TOR 63, DET 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CLE 112, POR 129	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%