NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	85		Excitement	4.0 [981]		MVP	Cedric Ceballos (PHX): +5.8%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	1.5 [1104]		LVP	Otis Thorpe (VAN): -10.3%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pete Chilcutt	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.12	0.00	0.09	6	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	9	68%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	8	45%	-0.00	3	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Chris Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	3	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	-0.05	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	8	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lee Mayberry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Blue Edwards	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	10	43%	0.02	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	20	46%	-0.03	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	9	45%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	13	72%	0.06	2	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.03	15	59%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	10	70%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	75%	0.03	2	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Marko Milic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	57%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	12	43%	-0.04	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Rex Chapman	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	26.5	15.4	28.9	2.5	33.2	131.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +28.7%

PHX +1.5%

VAN -4.2%

PHX +21.6%

PHX +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	PHX	NBA	VAN	PHX	NBA
this game	16.4	14.6	15.6	91.4	115.1	102.5
season	15.1	15.0		101.3	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.3		100.0	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	13.4	18.3	17.2	17.1	16.4
PHX	15.4	13.6	12.3	17.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivano Newbill	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-23	24	14.0	16.6	-2.57	15.6	14.5	1.09
Pete Chilcutt	30	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.16	-6	-16	10	18.3	15.5	2.79	17.0	13.4	3.55
George Lynch	40	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.12	-7	-15	8	17.7	15.4	2.35	14.4	14.7	-0.24
Chris Robinson	14	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-19	16	15.5	16.6	-1.07	12.1	15.0	-2.84
Sam Mack	29	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-19	16	15.8	16.7	-0.94	15.8	14.0	1.78
Lee Mayberry	36	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.14	-10	-12	2	17.0	16.0	0.96	15.7	13.9	1.85
Blue Edwards	46	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.18	-16	-6	-10	17.2	15.7	1.51	14.0	15.1	-1.15
Antonio Daniels	62	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	-10	-2	15.7	17.7	-2.00	14.2	15.5	-1.35
Otis Thorpe	62	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.02	-14	-8	-6	16.2	16.9	-0.74	14.4	14.9	-0.47
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	73	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	-7	-8	15.7	19.1	-3.49	14.1	16.2	-2.01
Bryant Reeves	67	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.25	-25	3	-28	16.3	16.8	-0.50	14.2	15.4	-1.19

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio McDyess	73	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.07	19	3	16	14.4	15.1	-0.75	15.7	18.9	-3.24
Rex Chapman	45	45	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	8	6	13.9	15.2	-1.34	15.3	17.4	-2.08
Clifford Robinson	58	57	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	17	-12	14.1	15.3	-1.26	15.8	17.4	-1.64
Danny Manning	48	46	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.03	11	11	0	13.6	15.6	-2.02	17.0	15.8	1.21
Hot Rod Williams	47	47	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.27	19	3	16	15.6	13.5	2.01	16.0	16.8	-0.83
Steve Nash	50	52	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.19	16	6	10	14.3	14.9	-0.56	16.8	15.9	0.99
Jason Kidd	58	57	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	14	-6	14.4	14.9	-0.52	17.0	15.5	1.44
Mark Bryant	35	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.30	17	5	12	15.3	14.1	1.26	17.4	15.8	1.64
Marko Milic	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	15.7	14.4	1.23	15.8	16.5	-0.70
Cedric Ceballos	42	43	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.13	4	18	-14	15.9	13.4	2.50	17.4	15.6	1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 83, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.63,0.76,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
MIL 102, LAL 114	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
SAS 87, PHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%