inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 108 Excitement5.4 [708] MVPTracy Murray (WAS): +19.7%
Washington Wizards 110 Comeback1.0 [1122] LVPWalter McCarty (BOS): -12.7%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Pervis Ellison0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.012100%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Travis Knight0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.02150%0.0200.002100%0.01
Antoine Walker0.010,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.010.11-0.000.103662%0.125-0.11729%-0.05
Andrew DeClercq0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.010100%0.0000.002100%0.00
John Thomas0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dee Brown-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Roy Rogers-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00456%0.002-0.041100%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05-0.070.00-0.011045%-0.031-0.0211100%0.04
Dana Barros-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06-0.04-0.01-0.00460%0.033-0.082100%0.01
Ron Mercer-0.070,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.080.020.012042%-0.032-0.04367%-0.02
Walter McCarty-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.040.00833%-0.072-0.062100%0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.130.05-0.02894%0.231-0.031100%0.01
Calbert Cheaney0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.050.03-0.011071%0.132-0.04875%-0.00
Chris Webber0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.040.040.050.010.021870%0.145-0.09743%-0.04
Darvin Ham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tim Legler00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Harvey Grant00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ledell Eackles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.000100%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.00233%-0.0200.0020%-0.03
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02365%0.032-0.061182%0.01
Juwan Howard0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.080.00-0.021140%-0.022-0.04367%-0.00
Rod Strickland0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.140.01-0.04857%0.027-0.11771%-0.00
Terry Davis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.03-0.00529%-0.091-0.0240%-0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.331.814.827.41.742.2144.3
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +53.4%
BOS -3.4%
WAS +2.0%
BOS -1.1%
BOS -1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSWASNBABOSWASNBA
this game15.413.615.6110.2108.9102.5
season15.115.1100.2102.8
opponent15.615.1102.2103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS16.716.014.114.815.4
WAS14.011.713.615.213.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew DeClercq30310.05-0.550.61-0.3313-152814.215.9-1.6714.913.11.81
Roy Rogers220.04-0.540.590.011-3417.515.32.1914.013.60.39
Dee Brown89-0.13-0.370.240.02-53-811.015.7-4.7411.013.9-2.87
Travis Knight1315-0.15-0.350.200.02-64-1013.815.6-1.8312.913.7-0.80
John Thomas1617-0.15-0.350.19-0.09-20-213.215.8-2.5911.514.0-2.58
Chauncey Billups7074-0.16-0.340.18-0.4510-122216.313.13.2014.311.72.56
Antoine Walker8484-0.18-0.320.14-0.242-4615.912.13.8314.59.45.05
Bruce Bowen4646-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.342-4613.317.2-3.8714.113.20.83
Pervis Ellison3333-0.31-0.19-0.130.04-1210-2218.813.65.1713.213.8-0.55
Dana Barros2829-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.03-119-2013.116.3-3.2011.314.6-3.28
Ron Mercer8690-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.39-1-1015.613.81.7413.613.50.08
Walter McCarty7475-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.43-1-1015.913.82.0713.214.9-1.71

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Whitney54500.420.080.350.3720213.314.0-0.6413.417.4-4.04
Calbert Cheaney82810.360.140.220.45-35-813.215.3-2.1015.713.81.93
Juwan Howard84830.340.160.170.39-24-613.812.90.8815.713.32.39
Tracy Murray47450.320.180.140.3202-213.513.7-0.1513.516.9-3.41
Chris Webber82800.260.240.030.44-68-1414.011.82.2515.514.60.98
Rod Strickland63630.260.240.030.067-51214.312.41.9116.513.33.18
Ben Wallace23210.180.32-0.140.1220213.613.6-0.0113.215.9-2.76
Terry Davis48470.150.35-0.200.005-3813.613.60.0617.613.34.34
Harvey Grant660.100.40-0.310.0420216.313.42.8914.515.4-0.91
Darvin Ham440.050.45-0.410.0211010.513.7-3.249.215.6-6.37
Tim Legler430.040.46-0.41-0.012026.013.9-7.9317.015.31.69
Ledell Eackles870.020.48-0.460.0202-211.713.8-2.0215.715.30.38


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.76,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.87,0.84,0.93,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 95, CHI 1080.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.68,0.69,0.59,0.7,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.6%
MIL 99, ORL 1060.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,1,0.98,195.0%
ORL 74, SAS 980.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.69,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.84,0.78,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%