NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	69		Excitement	2.3 [1214]		MVP	Jaren Jackson (SAS): +13.6%
San Antonio Spurs	85		Comeback	1.0 [975]		LVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): -13.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alvin Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	56%	0.00	2	-0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Vincent Askew	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Gary Trent	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	11	59%	0.02	2	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	12	59%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	5	62%	-0.01	3	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	4	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	8	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	10	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.14	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.00	-0.03	10	10%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.02	-0.02	12	78%	0.15	3	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
David Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.02	13	71%	0.08	4	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Cory Alexander	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Herrera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	62%	0.00	4	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Reggie Geary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0	50%	0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	6	47%	0.00	3	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chuck Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	8	56%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	24.5	16.4	25.2	2.5	28.4	122.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +44.7%

SAS +2.0%

SAS +4.0%

POR -2.9%

SAS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAS	NBA	POR	SAS	NBA
this game	16.9	15.2	15.6	76.7	95.5	102.5
season	15.9	15.9		101.9	100.9
opponent	15.9	15.4		97.2	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	21.5	16.0	18.1	13.3	16.9
SAS	12.8	14.0	19.8	15.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vincent Askew	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-22	28	12.6	18.3	-5.69	13.3	15.8	-2.49
Rick Brunson	26	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.18	6	-22	28	13.3	18.4	-5.10	15.0	15.3	-0.38
Alvin Williams	42	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.25	6	-22	28	15.1	18.5	-3.45	14.7	15.7	-1.03
Arvydas Sabonis	37	39	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-15	14	18.8	15.6	3.23	16.4	14.3	2.14
Gary Trent	49	48	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.06	-4	-12	8	15.1	19.1	-4.02	13.6	17.1	-3.45
Stacey Augmon	15	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.14	-12	-4	-8	21.0	16.1	4.88	14.9	15.3	-0.36
Kelvin Cato	36	33	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	-5	-6	16.4	17.3	-0.91	16.4	14.5	1.89
Brian Grant	34	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.04	-10	-6	-4	18.1	16.2	1.90	17.7	13.6	4.13
Kenny Anderson	58	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	0	-16	18.3	14.4	3.97	15.6	14.5	1.06
Rasheed Wallace	52	51	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.18	-22	6	-28	19.3	13.7	5.62	14.3	16.5	-2.16
Isaiah Rider	54	54	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.29	-28	12	-40	18.6	14.4	4.15	15.4	15.0	0.39

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	63	64	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.23	26	-10	36	15.0	15.8	-0.81	18.0	14.3	3.64
Jaren Jackson	60	61	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.17	23	-7	30	16.0	13.6	2.45	18.3	14.0	4.28
Avery Johnson	56	57	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.17	20	-4	24	15.6	14.6	1.00	18.4	14.4	4.01
David Robinson	51	53	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.06	14	2	12	16.2	14.0	2.16	18.1	15.3	2.78
Chuck Person	50	49	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	6	4	15.7	14.6	1.15	15.7	18.4	-2.72
Sean Elliott	27	29	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.03	8	8	0	16.7	14.6	2.16	21.1	15.0	6.10
Will Perdue	44	44	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.21	-3	19	-22	15.3	15.2	0.16	16.1	17.7	-1.60
Cory Alexander	30	30	0.07	0.42	-0.35	0.16	-3	19	-22	16.7	14.5	2.16	16.5	17.1	-0.65
Monty Williams	21	21	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	22	-28	13.3	15.8	-2.49	12.6	18.3	-5.69
Carl Herrera	20	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	21	-26	13.4	15.8	-2.30	12.1	18.2	-6.12
Malik Rose	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	9.7	16.1	-6.34	12.0	17.7	-5.69
Reggie Geary	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	8.7	16.2	-7.43	11.2	17.7	-6.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 81, CHA 121	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
WAS 78, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
MIL 102, ORL 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%