NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	78		Excitement	2.3 [1211]		MVP	David Robinson (SAS): +8.6%
San Antonio Spurs	102		Comeback	1.0 [1233]		LVP	Mitch Richmond (WAS): -5.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Nesby	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	15	53%	0.01	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Obinna Ekezie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	25%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Gerard King	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	5	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	67%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jahidi White	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	11	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	-0.07	23	35%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Whitney	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	17	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.00	0.01	7	80%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	14	66%	0.10	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	6	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Dial	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.12	0.00	0.10	9	78%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	53%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	8	61%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.3	24.6	16.7	24.2	2.5	24.4	121.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +35.0%

SAS +5.8%

WAS -3.1%

SAS +8.2%

SAS +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	SAS	NBA	WAS	SAS	NBA
this game	16.6	16.5	15.5	89.7	117.2	100.9
season	15.2	15.9		98.6	103.4
opponent	15.5	15.2		96.5	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.5	15.3	17.9	18.1	16.6
SAS	15.8	16.8	16.4	17.0	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Obinna Ekezie	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-24	24	19.1	16.1	2.96	15.7	16.6	-0.91
Gerard King	23	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-25	26	16.7	16.6	0.16	17.5	16.1	1.40
Felipe Lopez	3	3	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-24	24	7.7	16.9	-9.27	16.3	16.5	-0.15
Tyrone Nesby	54	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-19	14	16.7	16.5	0.22	16.5	16.4	0.09
Michael Smith	45	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-15	6	16.1	17.2	-1.06	15.8	17.2	-1.39
Jahidi White	30	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	-13	2	17.1	16.4	0.68	16.4	16.5	-0.15
Popeye Jones	42	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-11	-2	15.4	17.7	-2.30	16.8	16.2	0.66
Juwan Howard	39	38	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.19	-17	-7	-10	17.9	15.6	2.36	16.9	16.1	0.78
Richard Hamilton	68	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-8	-8	16.9	15.6	1.27	16.8	15.4	1.31
Mitch Richmond	60	60	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.14	-20	-4	-16	16.6	16.7	-0.12	16.4	16.7	-0.37
Chris Whitney	56	54	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.32	-30	6	-36	16.2	17.4	-1.24	16.0	17.2	-1.18

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	48	51	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.35	31	-7	38	16.4	16.6	-0.19	16.5	16.7	-0.17
Antonio Daniels	57	57	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.15	21	3	18	16.3	16.8	-0.43	16.1	17.6	-1.55
Derek Anderson	44	44	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.15	17	7	10	16.4	16.6	-0.15	17.0	16.2	0.77
David Robinson	32	34	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.11	13	11	2	16.5	16.5	0.03	17.4	16.1	1.30
Avery Johnson	33	34	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.18	15	9	6	16.9	16.2	0.64	16.6	16.6	-0.00
Terry Porter	27	28	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	15	-6	16.3	16.5	-0.22	16.3	16.8	-0.49
Samaki Walker	55	53	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.09	11	13	-2	16.5	16.5	-0.03	16.1	17.4	-1.30
Jaren Jackson	42	43	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.13	9	15	-6	16.0	16.9	-0.89	16.8	16.5	0.34
Steve Kerr	27	25	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	24	-24	16.1	16.6	-0.49	17.0	16.5	0.53
Ira Newble	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	21	-18	16.9	16.4	0.56	18.9	16.1	2.84
Derrick Dial	16	15	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	24	-24	15.6	16.7	-1.05	17.7	16.4	1.26
Danny Ferry	38	35	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.26	-9	33	-42	17.6	15.6	1.95	15.4	17.4	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 69, SAS 85	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
ORL 81, CHA 121	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
LAL 80, HOU 102	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%