NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	81		Excitement	2.1 [1280]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +14.7%
Charlotte Hornets	121		Comeback	1.0 [1194]		LVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): -8.0%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0.01	0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	14	61%	0.04	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
D.J. Augustin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	1	60%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
CJ Wilcox	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damjan Rudez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	7	14%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	13	54%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
C.J. Watson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	12%	-0.06
Stephen Zimmerman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mario Hezonja	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	10	46%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.22	0.00	0.07	13	88%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.00	0.05	8	83%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	0.00	0.03	6	71%	0.06	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.02	0.07	10	69%	0.04	1	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	8	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	14	50%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Briante Weber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.10	0.00	0.11	6	82%	-0.01	1	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.0	28.3	15.5	25.9	1.6	26.5	123.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +33.5%

CHA +6.0%

CHA +2.8%

CHA +6.5%

CHA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHA	NBA	ORL	CHA	NBA
this game	15.6	17.1	14.8	93.1	136.0	107.7
season	14.6	15.1		103.0	107.9
opponent	14.8	14.9		107.9	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.3	14.5	15.1	18.6	15.6
CHA	17.8	18.9	16.2	15.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Wilcox	15	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.26	-9	-31	22	16.9	15.3	1.63	15.8	17.4	-1.59
Damjan Rudez	21	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.41	-14	-26	12	18.6	14.6	3.94	15.7	17.6	-1.84
C.J. Watson	42	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.46	-20	-20	0	16.6	14.6	1.95	16.6	17.6	-1.00
Mario Hezonja	40	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.52	-24	-16	-8	16.7	14.6	2.15	15.8	18.2	-2.45
D.J. Augustin	22	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.25	-15	-25	10	16.6	15.2	1.41	17.6	16.9	0.69
Stephen Zimmerman	33	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.58	-27	-13	-14	17.3	14.5	2.77	16.0	17.8	-1.83
Jeff Green	12	11	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.10	-11	-29	18	14.6	15.7	-1.16	17.7	17.0	0.69
Bismack Biyombo	53	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.11	-13	-27	14	14.4	17.4	-2.95	17.9	15.8	2.10
Aaron Gordon	51	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.23	-18	-22	4	14.7	16.9	-2.17	17.4	16.6	0.82
Terrence Ross	51	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-27	14	14.7	16.9	-2.22	18.2	15.7	2.48
Elfrid Payton	50	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	-24	8	14.7	16.8	-2.04	17.3	16.9	0.36
Evan Fournier	45	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.21	-20	-20	0	14.6	16.6	-1.95	17.6	16.6	1.00

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	61	61	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.55	35	5	30	16.7	18.1	-1.44	15.6	15.7	-0.10
Cody Zeller	58	57	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.43	28	12	16	17.3	16.9	0.39	15.6	15.5	0.08
Nicolas Batum	53	51	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.20	18	22	-4	18.0	15.9	2.12	14.6	17.0	-2.41
Marco Belinelli	41	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.40	23	17	6	16.2	17.9	-1.77	16.5	14.8	1.75
Kemba Walker	46	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.08	12	28	-16	18.5	15.6	2.94	14.6	16.6	-2.03
Jeremy Lamb	51	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.43	23	17	6	16.8	17.5	-0.66	16.3	14.6	1.77
Brian Roberts	43	44	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.59	28	12	16	15.6	18.5	-2.94	16.6	14.6	2.03
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	36	35	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.12	11	29	-18	18.4	16.2	2.22	14.5	16.3	-1.75
Christian Wood	30	29	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.26	12	28	-16	17.1	17.2	-0.09	15.4	15.7	-0.31
Treveon Graham	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	33	-26	15.9	17.4	-1.50	16.5	15.4	1.03
Briante Weber	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	37	-34	17.1	17.1	-0.05	16.2	15.5	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 69, SAS 85	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
MIL 102, ORL 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
WAS 78, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%