NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	95		Excitement	6.3 [507]		MVP	Joe Dumars (DET): +19.0%
Detroit Pistons	100		Comeback	3.5 [658]		LVP	Oliver Miller (TOR): -14.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.14	-0.03	0.00	21	72%	0.16	4	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Reggie Slater	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	78%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Doug Christie	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	15	42%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Chris Garner	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Respert	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	7	29%	-0.06	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Zan Tabak	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
John Wallace	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	6	28%	-0.11	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Oliver Miller	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14	-0.03	-0.07	0.04	7	63%	-0.04	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.09	-0.01	11	80%	0.26	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.06
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles O'Bannon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	3	37%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	16	64%	0.05	5	-0.08	13	69%	-0.05
Bison Dele	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	11	50%	0.04	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	19	46%	-0.07	2	-0.04	14	93%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.5	29.6	15.5	26.2	2.7	37.6	137.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +15.7%

DET +17.1%

DET +9.2%

DET +11.9%

TOR -3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DET	NBA	TOR	DET	NBA
this game	17.1	13.3	15.6	100.0	105.3	102.5
season	15.5	15.9		98.7	102.8
opponent	15.9	14.8		101.1	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.9	18.3	18.0	17.2	17.1
DET	15.1	13.6	12.8	11.6	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	19	20	0.26	-0.76	1.02	-0.18	15	-20	35	12.6	18.2	-5.54	15.1	12.8	2.34
Chris Garner	13	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	0	-5	11.9	17.9	-5.95	9.1	13.9	-4.77
Tracy McGrady	2	2	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-1	-3	20.5	17.0	3.51	2.0	13.5	-11.49
Doug Christie	75	76	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.40	7	-12	19	17.1	17.0	0.08	13.8	11.0	2.82
Zan Tabak	50	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	1	-7	17.6	16.5	1.09	13.8	12.6	1.21
Reggie Slater	53	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-5	5	17.6	16.3	1.31	15.4	10.5	4.86
Shawn Respert	42	42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.13	-10	5	-15	18.3	16.1	2.23	11.7	14.5	-2.80
Damon Stoudamire	89	90	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-6	7	17.0	18.3	-1.36	13.3	12.0	1.32
Oliver Miller	75	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.24	-7	2	-9	17.6	15.1	2.49	13.0	14.2	-1.20
John Wallace	57	55	-0.52	0.01	-0.53	-0.05	-16	11	-27	17.1	17.0	0.11	12.0	15.0	-3.06

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	55	57	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.23	14	-9	23	13.5	12.8	0.70	18.5	14.9	3.53
Jerry Stackhouse	82	81	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.33	8	-3	11	13.3	12.9	0.38	16.8	18.4	-1.52
Grant Hill	90	92	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.40	3	2	1	13.4	9.8	3.64	17.0	19.0	-2.00
Bison Dele	78	79	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.30	6	-1	7	13.6	11.6	1.96	16.9	17.9	-1.05
Joe Dumars	77	77	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.35	4	1	3	13.6	11.6	2.03	16.1	21.2	-5.06
Malik Sealy	31	29	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	6	-7	10.9	14.4	-3.54	17.8	16.7	1.05
Charles O'Bannon	11	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	6	-7	13.9	13.2	0.74	18.5	16.9	1.68
Jerome Williams	27	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	4	-3	12.2	13.7	-1.44	17.7	16.8	0.95
Eric Montross	24	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.17	-9	14	-23	13.2	13.3	-0.00	16.0	17.4	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 97, SAC 114	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.88,0.87,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
CHH 70, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.28,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.4%
CHI 87, GSW 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.1%