NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	70		Excitement	4.9 [797]		MVP	Steve Kerr (CHI): +4.8%
Chicago Bulls	83		Comeback	4.3 [337]		LVP	Anthony Mason (CHH): -14.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Reid	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	60%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
B.J. Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	25	45%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Vlade Divac	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	8	60%	0.04	5	-0.12	4	50%	-0.01
David Wesley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	9	55%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Phills	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	8	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	7	21%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	5	33%	-0.09	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.06

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.04	17	61%	0.08	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	26	53%	0.07	3	-0.07	14	86%	0.03
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	1.7	29.1	20.5	31.4	2.6	33.3	140.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +27.4%

CHI +8.1%

CHH -3.0%

CHI +19.6%

CHH -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	CHI	NBA	CHH	CHI	NBA
this game	17.8	16.7	15.6	83.3	100.0	102.5
season	15.7	16.2		104.0	105.8
opponent	15.8	15.9		97.9	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	16.3	17.2	19.6	18.1	17.8
CHI	18.9	15.5	16.4	16.2	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
B.J. Armstrong	23	21	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-17	21	18.6	17.5	1.15	13.8	17.7	-3.95
J.R. Reid	27	26	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-6	-1	21.1	16.2	4.92	14.8	17.6	-2.77
Dell Curry	30	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-4	-5	19.2	17.0	2.17	14.5	17.9	-3.41
Anthony Mason	64	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-5	-3	17.1	19.8	-2.72	17.3	14.6	2.68
Glen Rice	75	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.23	-4	-9	5	17.4	20.8	-3.36	17.1	13.8	3.29
Vlade Divac	73	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.16	-8	-5	-3	17.3	21.2	-3.92	17.0	14.8	2.19
Bobby Phills	67	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.04	-16	3	-19	17.4	19.3	-1.91	17.1	15.1	2.08
David Wesley	61	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	4	-21	17.5	18.6	-1.15	17.7	13.8	3.95

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Rodman	79	79	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.14	15	-2	17	16.5	21.2	-4.77	17.9	15.8	2.10
Scottie Pippen	62	63	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.06	14	-1	15	17.5	14.3	3.25	17.9	17.4	0.52
Michael Jordan	77	78	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	2	9	16.6	17.7	-1.03	17.9	15.5	2.45
Steve Kerr	43	43	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	4	5	15.6	17.9	-2.30	17.8	17.7	0.08
Luc Longley	26	24	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.15	3	10	-7	13.9	18.0	-4.06	19.9	16.9	3.00
Toni Kukoc	48	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	6	1	18.4	14.4	4.00	17.3	18.4	-1.12
Ron Harper	34	34	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.10	2	11	-9	18.2	15.7	2.58	17.8	17.7	0.08
Scott Burrell	24	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	7	-1	13.6	18.0	-4.40	17.2	18.1	-0.90
Randy Brown	9	10	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	12	-11	17.4	16.6	0.82	17.3	17.8	-0.54
Dickey Simpkins	13	13	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.06	-3	16	-19	18.9	16.3	2.62	14.5	18.4	-3.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.28,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 87, GSW 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.76,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
NJN 93, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.9,1,1	94.6%
POR 106, NOH 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.98,0.95,0.99,1	94.5%