NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	97		Excitement	5.5 [699]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +13.6%
Sacramento Kings	114		Comeback	4.7 [550]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -23.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.01	6	92%	0.10	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
James Posey	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	9	82%	0.09	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	7	40%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	11	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	10	45%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	6	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	5	25%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Williams	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	10	38%	-0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.23,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.15	-0.07	0.01	20	49%	-0.07	7	-0.16	7	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.01	22	68%	0.24	5	-0.11	16	87%	0.04
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.02	15	67%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	14	56%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.02
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	10	62%	0.07	5	-0.12	12	83%	0.02
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.04	4	62%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	4	30%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	2.7	34.1	16.4	22.6	2.7	31.0	135.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +33.3%

SAC +14.4%

SAC +0.6%

SAC +0.9%

SAC +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAC	NBA	MEM	SAC	NBA
this game	16.0	14.0	15.7	101.0	118.8	100.5
season	15.3	14.7		102.3	106.9
opponent	15.6	15.7		102.0	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.4	16.3	19.6	13.2	16.0
SAC	14.0	11.3	15.6	15.6	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Tsakalidis	12	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.10	-4	-13	9	18.0	15.7	2.32	13.5	14.1	-0.65
Bo Outlaw	49	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-17	17	17.3	14.6	2.69	12.8	15.3	-2.48
James Posey	70	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.11	-1	-16	15	15.9	16.2	-0.25	13.8	14.6	-0.83
Bonzi Wells	42	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.19	-13	-4	-9	14.1	17.4	-3.37	15.0	13.2	1.81
Jason Williams	47	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	-8	-1	17.2	14.8	2.48	13.4	14.7	-1.36
Earl Watson	49	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-9	1	14.8	17.2	-2.48	14.7	13.4	1.36
Mike Miller	55	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.14	-6	-11	5	17.3	14.1	3.18	13.2	15.0	-1.81
Stromile Swift	24	25	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	-3	-11	16.3	15.9	0.43	15.2	13.6	1.53
Pau Gasol	75	77	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-5	-7	15.8	16.5	-0.65	14.1	13.6	0.56
Shane Battier	57	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.04	-18	1	-19	14.6	17.9	-3.29	14.8	12.8	1.97

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	90	90	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.04	16	1	15	14.1	12.8	1.28	15.7	20.3	-4.66
Peja Stojakovic	96	96	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.00	17	0	17	14.0	0.0	14.03	16.0	0.0	15.97
Anthony Peeler	44	44	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.20	22	-5	27	13.9	14.2	-0.27	15.2	16.6	-1.45
Vlade Divac	47	46	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.02	15	2	13	14.0	14.0	-0.02	17.8	14.2	3.61
Bobby Jackson	51	53	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	2	13	13.7	14.4	-0.74	15.1	17.0	-1.87
Mike Bibby	46	45	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	17	-17	14.1	14.0	0.15	16.8	15.2	1.56
Doug Christie	70	69	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	16	-15	14.5	12.8	1.68	15.5	17.1	-1.64
Darius Songaila	24	25	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.04	5	12	-7	14.4	13.9	0.46	16.4	15.8	0.64
Tony Massenburg	12	12	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.05	-6	23	-29	11.8	14.3	-2.51	16.1	16.0	0.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.88,0.87,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 95, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	94.4%
CHH 70, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.28,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.6%
NJN 93, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.82,0.74,0.84,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.9,1,1	93.4%