NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	89		Excitement	7.7 [264]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +69.5%
Vancouver Grizzlies	88		Comeback	2.8 [482]		LVP	Antonio Daniels (VAN): -23.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.69	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.69	0.06	0.63	-0.00	13	67%	0.74	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Antoine Carr	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.15	-0.05	0.19	-0.00	7	43%	0.19	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Adam Keefe	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Karl Malone	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	25	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Hornacek	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	2	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Bryon Russell	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	10	41%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.49	0.49	0.09	0.41	0.01	23	63%	0.55	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.10
Lee Mayberry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	2	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pete Chilcutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	11	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Otis Thorpe	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Blue Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	0.04	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	3	20%	-0.08	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	15	38%	-0.09	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.09,-0.06,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.15	-0.01	13	43%	-0.01	3	-0.22	4	75%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.6	25.4	16.7	26.1	2.7	33.1	129.7
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +5.6%

UTA +9.7%

VAN -4.6%

UTA +37.0%

UTA +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	VAN	NBA	UTA	VAN	NBA
this game	16.0	15.0	15.6	95.7	94.6	102.5
season	15.9	15.1		108.1	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.9		109.1	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.3	15.4	15.5	17.7	16.0
VAN	15.3	16.6	14.5	13.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Carr	46	48	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.65	-1	2	-3	15.3	16.7	-1.40	15.0	15.0	0.00
Karl Malone	74	73	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.43	4	-3	7	15.7	17.1	-1.36	15.1	14.8	0.25
Bryon Russell	49	46	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.39	4	-3	7	16.1	15.9	0.20	14.8	15.2	-0.43
John Stockton	62	61	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	-3	7	16.1	15.6	0.48	15.2	14.6	0.67
Shandon Anderson	35	35	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.06	9	-8	17	16.3	15.7	0.60	15.8	14.5	1.28
Jeff Hornacek	58	59	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.39	-8	9	-17	15.7	16.3	-0.60	14.5	15.8	-1.25
Adam Keefe	44	46	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	4	-7	15.9	16.1	-0.20	15.2	14.8	0.39
Howard Eisley	31	32	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	4	-7	15.6	16.1	-0.48	14.6	15.2	-0.67
Greg Foster	19	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	4	-7	17.1	15.7	1.36	14.8	15.1	-0.25
Greg Ostertag	47	45	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.18	2	-1	3	16.7	15.3	1.40	15.0	15.0	-0.00

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Massenburg	25	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	0	-1	15.1	15.0	0.11	16.7	15.7	0.91
Pete Chilcutt	30	30	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.46	13	-14	27	12.8	16.0	-3.25	16.6	15.7	0.93
George Lynch	15	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	4	-9	15.5	14.9	0.56	17.6	15.6	2.00
Lee Mayberry	26	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	5	-11	14.8	15.1	-0.27	17.4	15.5	1.90
Blue Edwards	34	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.37	6	-7	13	14.6	15.2	-0.56	17.9	14.8	3.03
Sam Mack	59	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	6	-13	15.2	14.6	0.56	14.8	17.9	-3.03
Otis Thorpe	50	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.05	-9	8	-17	16.1	13.7	2.38	15.6	16.4	-0.84
Antonio Daniels	67	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.46	5	-6	11	15.1	14.8	0.27	15.5	17.4	-1.90
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	78	78	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.49	2	-3	5	14.9	15.5	-0.56	15.5	18.3	-2.74
Bryant Reeves	81	82	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.42	-3	2	-5	15.1	14.2	0.86	15.9	16.6	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.29,0.08,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 117, GSW 113	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.25,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.19,0.15,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.31,0.29,0.15,0.09,0	92.8%
SAC 111, MIN 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0.08,0	92.6%
DEN 111, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.02,0	92.5%