inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 111 Excitement6.0 [658] MVPAndre Miller (DEN): +20.7%
Washington Wizards 105 Comeback1.1 [529] LVPLarry Hughes (WAS): -14.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andre Miller0.210,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.210.130.080.012564%0.242-0.033100%0.02
Carmelo Anthony0.100,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.050.060.011659%0.121-0.02786%0.02
Marcus Camby0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.070.040.02-0.011167%0.112-0.042100%0.01
Rodney White0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.04-0.00550%0.0500.0000%0.00
Greg Buckner0.020,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00475%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Francisco Elson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Nene-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01643%-0.012-0.042100%0.01
Earl Boykins-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.021541%-0.022-0.04250%-0.00
Kenyon Martin-0.070,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.02735%-0.042-0.03367%-0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.05-0.00-0.00862%0.0500.0000%0.00
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.002100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.030.030.04-0.01-0.002062%0.134-0.09580%0.01
Anthony Peeler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.00-0.00580%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Michael Ruffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01150%0.0100.002100%0.02
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00425%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.04-0.040.032256%0.012-0.04475%0.00
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00437%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.010.01643%-0.052-0.042100%0.01
Larry Hughes0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15-0.15-0.12-0.03-0.011836%-0.131-0.02650%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.01.823.20.225.22.531.4110.2
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +33.5%
DEN +6.4%
DEN +1.0%
DEN +5.6%
DEN +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENWASNBADENWASNBA
this game15.414.615.5113.3111.7104.0
season14.814.7103.8104.7
opponent15.515.6105.5102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN12.118.115.117.215.4
WAS14.214.614.215.514.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Camby75710.57-0.070.630.2710-41414.817.2-2.3714.315.7-1.41
Greg Buckner49470.390.110.290.0412-61815.615.10.4314.514.7-0.23
Carmelo Anthony75720.350.150.190.2924-214.717.5-2.8314.415.3-0.90
Andre Miller89840.340.160.180.37-17-815.117.4-2.3014.516.0-1.54
Earl Boykins58570.260.240.030.2315-415.515.10.3515.014.10.86
Nene47470.260.240.020.1442214.616.1-1.5015.913.42.45
Rodney White23220.150.35-0.190.0442217.514.72.8315.314.40.90
Francisco Elson12120.090.41-0.32-0.0342216.515.21.3015.714.51.29
Kenyon Martin62580.080.42-0.330.26-612-1816.413.62.8513.815.9-2.09

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juan Dixon9100.01-0.510.51-0.021-7813.814.7-0.9417.915.12.83
Michael Ruffin4144-0.09-0.410.32-0.204-101414.814.50.2716.214.71.54
Kwame Brown1212-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-2-215.714.51.2916.515.21.30
Anthony Peeler1415-0.12-0.380.260.03-5-1-415.414.50.9415.815.30.52
Jared Jeffries3739-0.23-0.270.030.03-93-1213.915.1-1.2113.916.3-2.47
Jarvis Hayes5860-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.353-91215.014.00.9716.114.21.83
Larry Hughes8083-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.35-1-5414.515.4-0.9415.315.8-0.52
Antawn Jamison8286-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.35-2-4214.515.7-1.2915.216.5-1.30
Brendan Haywood5253-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.12-104-1414.614.6-0.0314.915.8-0.90
Gilbert Arenas8588-0.510.01-0.51-0.30-71-814.713.80.9415.117.9-2.83


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.02,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 99, CHI 770.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,094.9%
WAS 109, CHA 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,094.6%
NJN 98, WAS 850.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.39,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.29,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,094.4%