NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	99		Excitement	5.1 [827]		MVP	Patrick Patterson (TOR): +10.7%
Chicago Bulls	77		Comeback	1.1 [652]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): -19.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.00	0.00	5	100%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	11	58%	0.10	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	14	57%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Salmons	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	8	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	14	50%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	47%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Steve Novak	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Buycks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.05	11	56%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Terrence Ross	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	12	35%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.00	6	73%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	52%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Marquis Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	7	31%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erik Murphy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	19	45%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.02	-0.04	7	29%	-0.05	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.18	-0.03	-0.02	18	22%	-0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	27.2	14.6	25.2	2.3	26.3	121.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +42.6%

TOR +5.2%

CHI -3.9%

TOR +3.6%

TOR +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHI	NBA	TOR	CHI	NBA
this game	15.3	16.5	15.1	110.0	84.6	105.2
season	15.9	16.3		107.2	101.1
opponent	15.3	15.1		99.6	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.2	15.0	16.0	15.1	15.3
CHI	16.1	15.7	16.0	18.4	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	71	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.11	22	0	22	16.2	12.2	3.94	16.7	15.8	0.82
John Salmons	50	50	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.02	19	3	16	15.6	14.9	0.72	17.2	15.7	1.52
Patrick Patterson	37	39	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	11	0	15.5	15.2	0.32	16.8	16.2	0.57
Kyle Lowry	64	67	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.25	18	4	14	14.7	16.9	-2.25	15.9	18.2	-2.33
Jonas Valanciunas	59	61	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.16	14	8	6	15.6	14.8	0.79	15.6	18.2	-2.59
Greivis Vasquez	31	31	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.23	16	6	10	16.0	15.0	0.98	17.9	15.8	2.14
Tyler Hansbrough	26	25	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.02	7	15	-8	14.2	15.8	-1.59	18.2	15.8	2.41
Amir Johnson	56	56	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.24	13	9	4	15.6	14.9	0.71	16.4	16.7	-0.31
Steve Novak	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	23	-24	11.0	15.4	-4.42	19.0	16.5	2.53
Landry Fields	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	23	-24	11.0	15.4	-4.42	19.0	16.5	2.53
Dwight Buycks	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	23	-24	11.0	15.4	-4.42	19.0	16.5	2.53
Austin Daye	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	23	-24	11.0	15.4	-4.42	19.0	16.5	2.53
Terrence Ross	48	50	-0.09	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	28	-34	14.7	16.0	-1.23	15.4	17.9	-2.52

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-19	16	14.0	16.6	-2.64	12.5	15.5	-3.02
Erik Murphy	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-23	24	19.0	16.5	2.53	11.0	15.4	-4.42
Tony Snell	9	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	-17	12	15.2	16.6	-1.41	14.2	15.5	-1.26
Nazr Mohammed	12	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.12	-7	-15	8	17.1	16.4	0.68	13.9	15.6	-1.64
Marquis Teague	55	54	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.21	-10	-12	2	16.3	16.9	-0.61	14.8	16.1	-1.22
Jimmy Butler	57	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-21	20	15.4	18.4	-3.06	16.1	14.0	2.08
Mike Dunleavy	46	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-11	0	17.7	15.3	2.39	14.4	16.1	-1.73
Taj Gibson	51	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.24	-18	-4	-14	17.2	15.6	1.64	14.3	16.5	-2.12
Carlos Boozer	51	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	-14	6	15.9	17.2	-1.26	16.0	14.5	1.53
Joakim Noah	67	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-10	-2	16.2	17.2	-1.03	15.9	13.6	2.36
D.J. Augustin	36	36	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.06	-12	-10	-2	16.9	16.3	0.61	16.1	14.8	1.22
Luol Deng	65	65	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.13	-24	2	-26	17.0	15.2	1.88	15.7	14.4	1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 83, MIA 73	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	95.0%
DEN 111, WAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.02,0	94.9%
WAS 109, CHA 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.8%