NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	89		Excitement	2.5 [1191]		MVP	Detlef Schrempf (SEA): +5.6%
Seattle SuperSonics	108		Comeback	1.1 [1248]		LVP	Joe Smith (GSW): -12.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Felton Spencer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	71%	0.02	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	5	43%	0.00	2	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	9	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Muggsy Bogues	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	6	33%	0.00	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	0.00	0.07	19	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	11	52%	-0.01	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.03
Duane Ferrell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	12	35%	-0.07	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.21	0.00	-0.08	12	19%	-0.06	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	14	61%	0.07	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	-0.05	6	69%	0.06	2	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	10	64%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	11	58%	0.02	0	0.00	11	64%	-0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
James Cotton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	6	23%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	10	59%	0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	10	59%	0.04	5	-0.08	7	86%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	48.9	1.6	26.7	16.5	27.4	2.3	28.8	152.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +32.2%

SEA +6.3%

SEA +6.5%

SEA +5.2%

GSW -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SEA	NBA	GSW	SEA	NBA
this game	16.0	13.6	15.6	91.8	110.2	102.5
season	15.6	15.3		92.9	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.0		102.3	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	16.6	18.6	15.1	14.0	16.0
SEA	11.1	15.7	14.3	13.7	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Todd Fuller	26	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.18	6	-25	31	14.0	16.7	-2.64	13.7	13.6	0.10
Adonal Foyle	31	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-22	25	15.7	16.1	-0.43	13.7	13.5	0.22
Felton Spencer	38	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-15	11	15.8	16.1	-0.30	11.9	14.6	-2.76
Dickey Simpkins	46	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-16	13	15.8	16.1	-0.27	13.1	14.0	-0.95
Tony Delk	62	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-17	15	15.2	17.3	-2.15	13.8	13.2	0.59
Muggsy Bogues	27	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-8	-3	18.8	14.9	3.94	11.7	14.3	-2.54
Bimbo Coles	50	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-13	7	14.7	17.3	-2.58	14.4	12.7	1.69
Duane Ferrell	43	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.14	-15	-4	-11	16.8	15.3	1.56	14.4	13.0	1.36
Brian Shaw	55	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.24	-19	0	-19	16.6	15.2	1.42	13.5	13.7	-0.20
Erick Dampier	50	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.21	-20	1	-21	16.4	15.5	0.89	15.0	12.1	2.92
Joe Smith	57	57	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.21	-24	5	-29	16.2	15.6	0.59	13.2	14.1	-0.97

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	66	66	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.40	29	-10	39	12.8	15.3	-2.52	16.1	15.8	0.29
Detlef Schrempf	50	50	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.29	24	-5	29	14.6	12.5	2.04	16.5	15.4	1.05
Hersey Hawkins	53	53	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.27	23	-4	27	13.9	13.2	0.75	16.1	15.8	0.32
Vin Baker	60	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.13	16	3	13	14.3	12.4	1.85	16.2	15.7	0.51
Jim McIlvaine	38	37	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.14	14	5	9	14.3	13.1	1.24	15.4	16.3	-0.95
Dale Ellis	49	48	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	15	-11	13.5	13.7	-0.22	16.2	15.7	0.56
Aaron Williams	49	49	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	14	-9	12.2	15.0	-2.80	15.9	16.1	-0.18
Sam Perkins	25	24	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.10	9	10	-1	12.7	13.9	-1.16	17.3	15.5	1.76
Greg Anthony	20	20	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	24	-29	15.2	13.2	2.03	16.5	15.8	0.73
James Cotton	20	20	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.20	-6	25	-31	12.9	13.8	-0.86	14.8	16.3	-1.41
David Wingate	39	39	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.24	-8	27	-35	13.0	14.0	-1.01	15.3	16.4	-1.15
Eric Snow	21	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	29	-39	14.3	13.4	0.90	14.3	16.4	-2.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, PHX 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
LAL 104, DAL 123	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
POR 68, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%