inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 104 Excitement2.6 [1239] MVPMonta Ellis (DAL): +12.4%
Dallas Mavericks 123 Comeback1.0 [1216] LVPSteve Nash (LAL): -4.3%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Kaman0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.00-0.02771%0.053-0.0200%0.00
Nick Young0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.070.000.061268%0.043-0.02757%-0.01
Shawne Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jodie Meeks0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.001050%0.011-0.00250%-0.01
Jordan Farmar0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00858%0.013-0.013100%0.01
Ryan Kelly0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Robert Sacre0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04312%0.0000.00250%0.00
Jordan Hill-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05567%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Steve Blake-0.010,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.000.02764%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Wesley Johnson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01844%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Pau Gasol-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.000.05950%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Xavier Henry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03828%-0.0300.00250%-0.00
Steve Nash-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.01831%-0.041-0.0000%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Monta Ellis0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.230.000.111483%0.141-0.028100%0.03
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.110.000.046100%0.071-0.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.01-0.061045%0.061-0.0020%-0.02
Jae Crowder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.190.000.159100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Samuel Dalembert0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01771%0.041-0.0000%0.00
Gal Mekel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.030.00-0.06856%0.0330.0000%0.00
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.041040%0.0300.0000%0.00
Bernard James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Ricky Ledo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03233%0.0010.002100%0.00
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.03333%0.0010.0000%0.00
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.060.00-0.051537%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.020.000.04955%-0.001-0.022100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.828.116.524.42.527.2125.7
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +34.1%
DAL +1.4%
DAL +8.2%
DAL +4.2%
DAL +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALDALNBALALDALNBA
this game13.814.415.1103.0119.4105.2
season14.015.3102.9109.0
opponent15.014.8107.0108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL14.513.914.812.213.8
DAL13.815.413.514.914.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ryan Kelly670.00-0.500.50-0.124-232712.313.9-1.5914.314.4-0.12
Robert Sacre9100.00-0.500.50-0.186-253113.013.9-0.9114.814.40.45
Shawne Williams1111-0.10-0.400.300.08-6-13715.613.62.0313.814.5-0.65
Jordan Hill3131-0.12-0.380.260.06-6-13715.413.12.2414.714.30.45
Jodie Meeks4748-0.13-0.370.23-0.347-263312.515.0-2.4715.013.91.13
Wesley Johnson4747-0.14-0.360.22-0.140-191912.714.8-2.0714.414.4-0.03
Jordan Farmar5351-0.16-0.340.18-0.04-4-151112.914.8-1.9114.714.10.53
Nick Young5958-0.22-0.280.05-0.05-6-13713.214.7-1.4714.614.20.39
Chris Kaman3838-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.12-5-14913.114.3-1.1613.914.7-0.80
Xavier Henry4245-0.28-0.22-0.050.11-13-6-714.713.21.4714.214.6-0.39
Steve Nash4244-0.34-0.16-0.180.28-212-2315.212.92.3313.814.8-0.97
Steve Blake5558-0.36-0.14-0.220.20-190-1914.712.81.8914.214.6-0.44
Pau Gasol6567-0.38-0.12-0.250.56-3213-4514.412.91.4614.514.20.27

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shawn Marion58570.380.120.27-0.081631314.214.7-0.4814.712.72.04
Monta Ellis66670.380.120.26-0.2120-12114.314.5-0.1413.813.9-0.03
Jose Calderon46450.340.160.18-0.3022-32513.615.0-1.3915.512.53.03
Samuel Dalembert48470.340.160.17-0.161721513.715.0-1.2115.512.43.18
Dirk Nowitzki59580.310.190.12-0.221811714.314.5-0.2614.413.01.41
Vince Carter39380.230.27-0.040.11415-1113.914.7-0.7614.313.50.78
Jae Crowder52510.190.31-0.11-0.01712-514.514.30.2813.214.5-1.36
DeJuan Blair41410.160.34-0.17-0.13109114.614.30.2712.414.8-2.39
Gal Mekel57560.160.34-0.180.25-322-2515.013.61.3912.515.5-3.03
Bernard James14140.000.50-0.490.24-827-3516.114.12.0211.414.2-2.87
Wayne Ellington20180.000.50-0.490.06-221-2315.314.21.1811.914.2-2.30
Ricky Ledo15130.000.50-0.500.18-625-3115.314.21.0912.214.1-1.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 90, WAS 1050.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%
POR 68, DEN 1070.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%
CHH 87, MIL 1370.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.7%