NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	95		Excitement	2.8 [1208]		MVP	Goran Dragic (PHX): +6.2%
Phoenix Suns	121		Comeback	1.2 [1244]		LVP	Caron Butler (WAS): -9.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.17	0.00	0.15	9	83%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.05	7	65%	0.00	1	0.00	6	100%	-0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	15	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Earl Boykins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	11%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	21	44%	-0.01	2	-0.01	8	87%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	9	37%	-0.03	3	-0.04	1	100%	-0.00
Caron Butler	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.00	0.04	9	50%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	7	67%	0.06	1	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	-0.05	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	18	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	11	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Alando Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	44%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	17	59%	0.03	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	12	56%	0.03	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.7	37.2	15.8	28.2	2.6	30.3	143.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +40.8%

PHX +3.7%

PHX +4.4%

PHX +2.3%

WAS -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHX	NBA	WAS	PHX	NBA
this game	15.3	13.4	15.3	96.0	118.6	106.0
season	15.7	14.4		102.6	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.3		109.0	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.1	15.3	16.2	15.8	15.3
PHX	13.1	13.5	11.5	15.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	37	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.12	-5	-21	16	15.7	15.1	0.61	14.5	12.7	1.78
Randy Foye	38	42	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-23	20	15.0	15.5	-0.48	14.0	12.9	1.12
Earl Boykins	27	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.20	-11	-15	4	16.0	15.1	0.98	14.5	12.9	1.52
Andray Blatche	40	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-21	16	16.6	14.4	2.18	15.0	12.2	2.83
DeShawn Stevenson	27	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-18	10	14.7	15.5	-0.80	10.8	14.3	-3.50
Dominic McGuire	36	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-24	22	15.4	15.3	0.19	14.7	12.6	2.06
Nick Young	53	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.18	-15	-11	-4	16.1	14.4	1.66	15.0	11.4	3.55
Caron Butler	62	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.17	-18	-8	-10	14.7	16.4	-1.64	12.6	14.6	-2.03
Gilbert Arenas	54	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.22	-21	-5	-16	15.3	15.3	0.02	11.9	15.0	-3.01
Brendan Haywood	58	59	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.10	-17	-9	-8	14.9	16.0	-1.11	12.5	14.6	-2.15
Antawn Jamison	63	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.31	-25	-1	-24	14.7	16.4	-1.72	12.4	14.9	-2.48

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	69	68	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.36	28	-2	30	12.4	15.3	-2.91	15.4	15.3	0.09
Grant Hill	55	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.18	19	7	12	12.2	14.8	-2.60	15.1	15.6	-0.52
Steve Nash	66	64	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.36	25	1	24	12.3	15.4	-3.13	14.9	16.0	-1.09
Channing Frye	62	61	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.20	19	7	12	12.2	15.2	-2.98	14.5	16.6	-2.04
Jason Richardson	58	57	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.35	23	3	20	11.9	15.3	-3.44	15.3	15.4	-0.06
Jared Dudley	41	40	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.23	16	10	6	14.8	12.4	2.41	16.2	14.7	1.43
Lou Amundson	49	47	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	17	-8	15.1	11.8	3.35	16.1	14.6	1.45
Goran Dragic	44	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	23	-20	15.3	11.9	3.44	15.4	15.3	0.06
Robin Lopez	24	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	30	-34	15.5	12.7	2.85	15.8	15.2	0.58
Alando Tucker	24	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	30	-34	15.5	12.7	2.85	15.8	15.2	0.58
Earl Clark	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	30	-34	14.9	13.0	1.85	14.9	15.4	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 89, SEA 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.9%
MIL 86, BOS 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.8%
ORL 92, SAC 122	0.5,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%