NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	88		Excitement	5.6 [670]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (LAL): +8.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	98		Comeback	1.6 [782]		LVP	Vinny Del Negro (SAS): -20.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Elliott	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	10	59%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cory Alexander	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.02	9	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	-0.04	13	62%	0.09	5	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	6	65%	0.06	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
David Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	12	61%	0.08	4	-0.10	7	100%	0.03
Will Perdue	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Monty Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	7	41%	-0.05	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Jaren Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.18	-0.06	-0.03	8	0%	-0.17	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	16	64%	0.14	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	10	61%	0.08	0	0.00	8	100%	0.02
Robert Horry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	7	73%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.03	-0.04	19	46%	0.05	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.03
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.06	-0.02	13	36%	-0.06	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.3	26.0	16.0	25.1	2.8	35.3	133.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +24.9%

LAL +7.7%

LAL +6.7%

LAL +10.9%

SAS -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAL	NBA	SAS	LAL	NBA
this game	16.3	15.1	15.6	96.7	106.5	102.5
season	15.9	14.8		100.9	110.0
opponent	15.6	15.9		102.6	97.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.8	21.2	15.8	13.2	16.3
LAL	11.4	17.6	13.0	20.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Alexander	42	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.21	5	-15	20	16.7	16.0	0.76	18.6	12.2	6.38
Sean Elliott	58	59	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-11	12	17.1	14.9	2.18	16.0	13.6	2.33
David Robinson	63	63	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.22	3	-13	16	15.4	18.5	-3.13	17.2	10.6	6.64
Will Perdue	11	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	-4	-2	19.3	15.9	3.35	8.3	16.0	-7.66
Vinny Del Negro	59	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-6	2	14.9	19.0	-4.07	15.0	15.4	-0.39
Tim Duncan	79	80	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-10	10	15.4	22.6	-7.20	15.7	11.2	4.46
Jaren Jackson	34	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-2	-6	18.3	15.2	3.09	14.9	15.3	-0.35
Monty Williams	31	30	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	-1	-8	15.5	16.8	-1.33	14.0	15.7	-1.68
Avery Johnson	49	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.00	-15	5	-20	16.0	16.7	-0.76	12.2	18.6	-6.38
Malik Rose	29	31	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.01	-17	7	-24	19.9	14.7	5.24	11.6	16.9	-5.35

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	53	49	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.05	20	-10	30	13.5	17.3	-3.78	18.8	13.5	5.26
Eddie Jones	75	75	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.13	11	-1	12	14.5	17.9	-3.45	15.8	18.6	-2.78
Robert Horry	54	54	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	-1	12	14.2	16.5	-2.33	16.1	16.6	-0.49
Elden Campbell	70	70	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.08	9	1	8	15.7	13.4	2.32	16.0	17.6	-1.61
Nick Van Exel	60	62	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	5	0	16.2	13.0	3.22	15.5	18.0	-2.45
Derek Fisher	32	29	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	5	0	13.0	16.2	-3.22	18.0	15.5	2.45
Sean Rooks	21	21	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	9	-8	13.5	15.6	-2.08	17.6	16.0	1.61
Corie Blount	39	37	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.14	-1	11	-12	16.3	14.2	2.09	16.6	16.1	0.49
Rick Fox	56	58	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.34	-11	21	-32	17.5	11.4	6.06	14.9	18.8	-3.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.61,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.96,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 90, MIL 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MIN 77, IND 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1	94.5%
UTA 101, GSW 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.75,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%