NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	5.2 [630]		MVP	Monta Ellis (GSW): +23.8%
Golden State Warriors	119		Comeback	2.0 [606]		LVP	CJ Miles (UTA): -11.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.03	0.04	10	76%	0.12	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.01	0.07	-0.03	17	50%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.03	0.03	11	70%	0.08	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.03
Enes Kanter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	45%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Jeremy Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	5	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	60%	0.05	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	5	19%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.01
CJ Miles	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	6	21%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.07	-0.01	21	70%	0.32	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.03
David Lee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.02	0.09	-0.04	23	45%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.16	-0.01	0.09	14	81%	0.12	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	12	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Barron	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Tyler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	0.7	26.6	15.4	24.5	2.4	32.6	125.6
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +18.2%

GSW +14.2%

GSW +2.9%

GSW +13.5%

GSW +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.6	107.4	128.0	102.8
season	15.8	15.2		104.0	103.6
opponent	15.4	15.1		106.8	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.9	15.5	16.9	16.2	15.9
GSW	14.5	17.2	13.8	14.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-19	20	12.0	16.1	-4.13	16.0	14.8	1.15
Paul Millsap	55	55	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-13	8	16.0	15.7	0.25	15.0	14.8	0.25
Josh Howard	78	76	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	-10	2	16.0	15.2	0.81	15.5	12.3	3.23
Jamaal Tinsley	68	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-8	-2	16.1	15.3	0.71	14.8	15.2	-0.40
Al Jefferson	63	62	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-8	-2	16.0	15.6	0.42	14.6	15.5	-0.87
Enes Kanter	31	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	-8	-10	2	15.6	16.0	-0.42	15.5	14.6	0.87
Alec Burks	26	27	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	-10	2	15.3	16.1	-0.71	15.2	14.8	0.40
Gordon Hayward	78	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.02	-13	-5	-8	15.4	17.9	-2.43	14.5	17.1	-2.54
CJ Miles	26	25	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	-2	-14	17.6	15.2	2.37	14.1	15.2	-1.12
Derrick Favors	39	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	-5	-8	15.7	16.0	-0.25	14.8	15.0	-0.25

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monta Ellis	77	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.08	20	-2	22	14.8	15.6	-0.83	16.2	14.3	1.87
Stephen Curry	74	76	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.08	19	-1	20	14.4	17.1	-2.73	16.2	14.4	1.75
David Lee	76	79	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	2	14	14.3	17.9	-3.61	16.1	14.8	1.26
Ekpe Udoh	33	35	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.09	15	3	12	14.7	15.1	-0.37	16.9	15.3	1.63
Brandon Rush	32	33	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.10	15	3	12	14.7	15.1	-0.43	16.8	15.4	1.43
Dorell Wright	54	55	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	14	-10	15.0	14.9	0.07	15.7	16.1	-0.32
Andris Biedrins	54	54	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.01	5	13	-8	15.0	14.9	0.07	15.8	16.0	-0.20
Jeremy Tyler	16	14	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	17	-16	18.0	14.3	3.70	14.1	16.2	-2.02
Nate Robinson	19	18	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	19	-20	17.1	14.4	2.73	14.4	16.2	-1.75
Earl Barron	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	16.0	14.8	1.15	12.0	16.1	-4.13
Charles Jenkins	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	16.0	14.8	1.15	12.0	16.1	-4.13
Klay Thompson	16	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	20	-22	15.6	14.8	0.83	14.3	16.2	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.75,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 88, LAL 98	0.5,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.61,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.96,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	94.5%
IND 92, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%
TOR 81, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%