NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	90		Excitement	5.9 [670]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +20.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	98		Comeback	1.6 [928]		LVP	Brandon Ingram (LAL): -21.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	17	54%	0.13	2	-0.07	5	80%	-0.00
Julius Randle	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	7	65%	0.11	4	-0.10	12	75%	-0.00
Lonzo Ball	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.03	12	68%	0.11	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Brook Lopez	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.03	0.02	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Vander Blue	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	10	32%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	8	40%	-0.01	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Brandon Ingram	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21	-0.15	-0.04	0.02	10	29%	-0.13	3	-0.09	8	50%	-0.05

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.08	0.03	19	67%	0.31	3	-0.11	11	82%	0.02
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	10	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.05	0.02	11	62%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
DeAndre Liggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	13	41%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	40%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.15	-0.01	-0.09	13	37%	0.03	5	-0.09	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.5	28.2	13.0	28.5	1.7	33.3	133.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +21.7%

MIL +5.9%

LAL -14.2%

MIL +31.6%

MIL +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIL	NBA	LAL	MIL	NBA
this game	12.5	15.9	14.7	88.2	97.0	107.5
season	13.7	14.3		105.7	108.5
opponent	15.4	14.8		108.9	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.7	12.1	13.0	12.4	12.5
MIL	15.1	15.6	15.3	17.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vander Blue	30	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.19	6	-14	20	12.5	12.5	-0.01	17.0	15.4	1.66
Lonzo Ball	82	84	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.32	10	-18	28	12.2	13.7	-1.51	16.1	14.6	1.52
Brook Lopez	45	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.27	8	-16	24	11.4	13.5	-2.08	16.2	15.5	0.68
Corey Brewer	14	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	0	-8	11.9	12.6	-0.71	15.4	15.9	-0.57
Jordan Clarkson	43	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	-2	-4	13.3	12.0	1.24	15.8	15.9	-0.09
Kyle Kuzma	88	87	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-8	8	12.6	11.9	0.71	15.9	15.4	0.57
Julius Randle	57	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.01	-16	8	-24	13.5	11.4	2.08	15.5	16.2	-0.68
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	74	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.09	-14	6	-20	12.5	12.7	-0.19	15.5	16.7	-1.16
Brandon Ingram	77	76	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.10	-20	12	-32	12.5	12.6	-0.13	15.4	17.1	-1.63

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Brogdon	68	68	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.10	23	-15	38	16.3	14.9	1.40	12.7	12.2	0.50
Thon Maker	43	45	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.09	17	-9	26	16.7	15.3	1.39	13.1	12.1	1.02
Matthew Dellavedova	31	33	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.00	20	-12	32	16.0	15.8	0.26	13.0	12.3	0.73
Giannis Antetokounmpo	85	87	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-5	18	15.5	17.7	-2.18	12.5	12.7	-0.23
DeAndre Liggins	29	28	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.26	1	7	-6	18.9	14.6	4.27	12.4	12.6	-0.15
Khris Middleton	82	81	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	10	-12	15.6	17.0	-1.41	12.5	12.5	0.02
John Henson	58	57	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.17	-9	17	-26	15.3	16.7	-1.39	12.1	13.1	-1.02
Eric Bledsoe	68	69	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.14	-8	16	-24	15.2	17.1	-1.84	12.2	13.2	-0.91
Tony Snell	41	42	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.17	-15	23	-38	15.0	16.4	-1.35	12.5	12.6	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.91,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 88, LAL 98	0.5,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.61,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.55,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.9,0.96,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1	94.7%
PHI 102, LAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.3%
DAL 93, NOH 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%