NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	94		Excitement	6.0 [567]		MVP	Bison Dele (DET): +8.4%
Detroit Pistons	89		Comeback	1.4 [718]		LVP	Detlef Schrempf (SEA): -18.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0.06	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	22	56%	0.09	1	-0.02	11	64%	-0.05
Dale Ellis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	1	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	17	45%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	8	44%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Perkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.02	-0.02	9	18%	-0.12	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bison Dele	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	17	67%	0.15	3	-0.07	5	80%	-0.01
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	23	50%	-0.04	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	21	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.4	25.4	15.5	24.7	1.8	36.7	130.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +24.7%

DET -1.5%

SEA +18.9%

SEA +2.2%

SEA +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DET	NBA	SEA	DET	NBA
this game	16.9	17.2	15.6	111.9	104.7	102.5
season	15.3	15.9		109.3	102.8
opponent	15.9	16.2		101.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.5	15.0	18.1	18.0	16.9
DET	17.8	17.0	17.9	16.3	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	69	71	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.20	15	-10	25	16.1	20.3	-4.20	17.4	16.4	0.92
Dale Ellis	45	46	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.19	10	-5	15	16.2	17.7	-1.51	18.3	15.9	2.41
Detlef Schrempf	67	68	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.44	1	4	-3	16.8	17.4	-0.59	16.6	19.4	-2.76
Sam Perkins	38	39	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.01	12	-7	19	16.9	16.8	0.07	17.9	16.6	1.38
David Wingate	19	22	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.13	5	0	5	19.4	16.2	3.21	20.0	16.2	3.72
Hersey Hawkins	57	56	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	4	-3	16.5	17.8	-1.32	15.8	19.9	-4.09
Vin Baker	68	66	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.38	-5	10	-15	17.2	15.3	1.94	16.2	20.7	-4.56
Aaron Williams	16	18	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	0	5	14.2	17.5	-3.25	18.8	16.8	2.07
Greg Anthony	15	14	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.15	-10	15	-25	20.3	16.1	4.20	16.4	17.4	-0.92
Jim McIlvaine	26	25	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.07	-9	14	-23	18.1	16.3	1.79	17.7	17.0	0.74

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	58	59	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.36	11	-16	27	18.0	15.4	2.57	17.7	15.0	2.62
Don Reid	9	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.11	-6	1	-7	14.3	17.5	-3.21	15.3	17.1	-1.73
Aaron McKie	6	4	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-1	-3	16.0	17.3	-1.29	15.2	17.0	-1.71
Malik Sealy	27	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.18	1	-6	7	19.8	16.0	3.83	15.5	17.5	-2.06
Jerome Williams	14	13	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.00	-9	4	-13	18.2	17.0	1.21	13.9	17.4	-3.50
Joe Dumars	71	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.39	4	-9	13	16.8	19.2	-2.41	17.2	15.3	1.86
Bison Dele	76	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.40	4	-9	13	16.9	19.8	-2.88	16.9	17.0	-0.13
Grant Hill	75	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.38	2	-7	9	16.7	20.6	-3.85	17.3	13.3	3.97
Grant Long	16	14	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	11	-27	16.6	17.3	-0.79	15.6	17.1	-1.49
Lindsey Hunter	73	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.24	-12	7	-19	17.2	17.5	-0.35	17.1	15.5	1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.33,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.31,0.19,0.1,0.03,0.07,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.11,0.19,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.1,0	93.7%
HOU 109, POR 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.02,0.1,0.03,0.01,0	93.6%
LAL 93, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.33,0.24,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.24,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.02,0,0	93.6%